CBS Snap Debate Poll: Obama’s Stock Rose More
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Debates, McCain, Polls
In fact, the margin favors Obama by 14% with independent voters.
46% of uncommitted voters said their opinion of Obama got better tonight. 32% percent said their opinion of McCain got better.
And on the economy, Obama absolutely dominated by 24 points…
66% of uncommitted voters think Obama would make the right decisions about the economy. 42% think McCain would.
Still, McCain held his foreign policy, but only by 8 points…
48% of these voters think Obama would make the right decisions about Iraq. 56% think McCain would.
Conclusion: It looks like this one could be shaping up to ultimately be a win for Obama.
UPDATE:
Here’s the link to all the results…
Also, these numbers are particularly revealing…
Obama beats McCain by 38 points in “understands your needs and problems”?! That’s a pretty huge gap. True, McCain did add 5 points to his total last night, but looks like he’ll really have to start talking about the nation’s problems instead of talking about Obama’s personality if he has any shot of winning this thing.
Also, as far as crossing the Commander In Chief threshold, Obama has done it. Of course McCain will always have higher numbers in that category, but Obama cut his lead in half from a +35 to a +18. If Obama can essentially keep that spread, I think that’s enough for most swing voters to think that judgement trumps experience in this election.
More as it develops…
This entry was posted on Friday, September 26th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Debates, McCain, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
September 26th, 2008 at 10:48 pm
McCain seems more relaxed while Obama seemed tense. Body language spoke stronger than words in this first debate. Obama seems to doubt more than McCain when answering questions. Just a first impression maybe? AXJ
September 26th, 2008 at 11:06 pm
If you’re arguing body language I have to say the opposite, McCain came across as contemptuous and disrespectful, Obama came across as more casual, especially since he looked at McCain and McCain didn’t look at him. I think Obama did what Reagan did in 1980, he showed he’d make a good president. and for him already being in the lead, i think this might be the final nail in the coffin for McCain
September 26th, 2008 at 11:21 pm
[...] an hour ago, I posted about a CBS snap poll that showed a 14% post-debate spread among independents who thought Obama won [...]
September 27th, 2008 at 12:48 am
I don’t see this as the final nail in the coffin for McCain as there are still 2 debates left and another 5 months–time enough for an October surprise or another crazy McCain stunt. Of course, the next time he pulls a stunt (just a matter of time) I doubt if anyone besides Fox and CNN will take it seriously.
September 27th, 2008 at 1:08 am
It was not a debate, it was a parallel press conference. Why have the Democrats and Republicans, with the support of the CPD, colluded to shut third-party and independent voices out of the debates?
If McCain and Obama don’t have the courage to debate Barr and Nader, they have no business to be in the position where they will have to face much more dangerous people like Putin and Ahmedinejad.
What are you afraid of, Senators?
September 27th, 2008 at 7:37 am
Michael: What do Nader and Barr really have to say? Really? REALLY? In an election like this, where the stakes are so high and the third party candidates are SO below the radar — Nadar had more visibility in 2004 than he does right now — and which has been SO DRAWN OUT over the court of almost TWO YEARS now, WHAT on EARTH would a third party candidate contribute?
Jeebus, is the first African American president not progressive enough for you?
September 27th, 2008 at 8:07 am
The plain truth about third party candidates in this country is that they have to be more compelling than either Nader or Barr, presenting something different to the public that is judged to have the chance of catching fire if they want to stand a chance. Nader? The same old claim about how Democrats and Republicans are just the same. We’ve seen how well that worked out and that it is not true. Barr is the same thing. Libertarianism, less regulation of business. Right now we’re seeing how well that works out.
September 27th, 2008 at 8:22 am
[...] thing that might be somewhat interesting, though, as discussed by Justin Gardner of Donklephant, is that a CBS snap poll shows independent, uncommitted voters favoring Obama in the debate by a [...]
September 27th, 2008 at 12:33 pm
[...] CBS reports that, “40% of uncommitted voters who watched the debate tonight thought Barack Obama was the winner. 22% thought John McCain won. 38% saw it as a draw.†[...]
September 27th, 2008 at 4:43 pm
Where was this poll? On CNN (Clinton News Network) and tallied before any independents or republicans could vote? LOL
Obama was clearly agitated, spoke out of turn, interrupted rudely and knew NOTHING about foreign policy.
These polls are so twisted toward the Obamessiah it’s frightening that you call yourselves journalism.
The only straight words, that weren’t stuttering or sputtering were cleary so well rehearsed, they were obviously from the imagined teleprompter in front of him.
What a shame that the news is no longer reported fairly and the networks think THEY can perpetrate a win for their favorite.
It didn’t work in 2000 or 2004. Not going to work in 2008 either.
Too bad what they did to Hillary. Now that would have been a challenge.
LOL
September 27th, 2008 at 6:02 pm
The survey is pretty interesting in that they did a pre-survey of voters who had not yet firmly committed to a candidate Including leaners) and then re-contacted them after the debate.
http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/2008Debate1.pdf
The kicker is the last question, when they ask whether the Undecided would vote for a candidate pair. Before the debate there was a 34%-34% split amongst leaners with 32% undecided. Afterwards Obama had shifted to 41% to McCain’s 27%. OUCH!
October 15th, 2008 at 9:16 pm
[...] First Debate: Obama 39%, McCain 24% [...]
October 15th, 2008 at 9:16 pm
[...] First Debate: Obama 39%, McCain 24% [...]