Public Policy Polling’s Disturbing Birther Discovery In Virginia
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in Barack, Obama, Polls, Virginia
Less than half.
Good god.
This is after we found out that a majority of Republicans either don’t think or aren’t sure that Obama is a United States citizen.
(h/t: Political Wire)
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August 2nd, 2009 at 6:07 pm
Remember this poll in 2007?
My guess is that over time, the craziness on the left regarding Bush and 9/11 will subside, as will this birth certificate nonsense.
Question: Is 3 points more of nuttiness (39% vs 42%) within the margin of error? Which side is more crazy?
August 2nd, 2009 at 6:17 pm
Thats a good point Jimmy.
Hatred breeds ignorance.
August 2nd, 2009 at 6:46 pm
To get a standard error of 3% you need to sample 1,000 or more.
This sample is only 168, so the standard error is much higher. It’s 7.5% at a 95% confidence according to the formula on wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error#Different_confidence_levels
No idea what the sample size on the 9/1 poll was, so I can’t calculate that margin.
August 2nd, 2009 at 10:15 pm
The difference Jimmy is that 9/11 is an unknown, BO being a citizen is a known.
August 3rd, 2009 at 11:53 am
The MoE is even higher if the base assumptions or the methodology are suspect.
Yeah, I remember that 2007 Rasmussen poll. I thought of it when I saw the DailyKos birfer polling.