Looks like he’ll end up finishing the night with a lead of about 13%, which is bad news for Hillary. Her and her team threw some pretty significant attacks at him that dominated the last couple news cycles and it looked like it actually helped him. In fact, if I remember correctly from exit polls I heard tonight, voters said overwhelmingly that her attacks were more unfair. How about that?
Here are some demographics via exit polls, via Drudge:
All age groups under 65
All education levels
All regions of the state — urban, suburban and rural
Voters without college degrees (50-48)
White men (59-38)
Voters who decided in the last week (58-42)
Won or tied voters of all income levels
Tied among white women
Tied among union members
Tied among union households
So it looks like he cut into all of her power alleys except for white women. No word on Hispanics yet, but I think their numbers in this state were statistically insignificant. I’ll find out soon I’m sure.
Calling it a night. Looks like a solid win for Obama, one that will help him in two weeks in Texas and Ohio. Hillary can just about hit the panic button now. If she can’t win both Texas and Ohio on March 4th, the Democratic Party will start calling for her withdrawal to avoid the convention meltdown.
She needed to either have this be a close one or win it. She did neither.
We’ll see how this all shakes out tomorrow.
Okay, we’re actually looking at landslide proportions here.
With 99% reporting, he has won 58% to 41%, which represents a 17 point spread. It’s my opinion that double digits means a big win and after you cross the 15 point threshold, you’re into landslide territory.
Just to give you some perspective on this, McCain has his nomination locked up and he won 55% to Huckabee’s 37% tonight. That’s an 18 point spread. So Obama beat Hillary by virtually the same amount.
Also, and most importantly, he seems to have gained an 11 point delegate advantage on her tonight. This is the real reason Wisconsin was so important. Now she’s going to have to win Ohio and Texas by even bigger margins, and Texas looks to be shaping up to possibly even be a win for Obama.
Another thing to note, he has two weeks to campaign in the March 2nd states now and as we’ve seen in nearly every single place this guy has visited, he makes up ground when he gets on the ground and shakes hands.
This entry was posted on Tuesday, February 19th, 2008 and is filed under Barack, Hillary, Wisconsin. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.