The New York Times has a delegate scorecard thingamajig and I’m going to play out a few scenarios here.
First, let’s say Hillary and Obama split the remaining pledged delegates. What % of the supers would she need?
Think 73% is possible? If so, I have a bridge you might be interested in buying…
Okay, so let’s say Hill actually has momentum and starts beating Obama by 10% in every contest from here on out.
So she would still need to beat him nearly 2 to 1 in super pickups, and post Pennsylvania he has 21 to her 11. Hardly encouraging.
Okay, last scenario. What % of the pledged delegates would she have to get to merely trade superdelegate endorsements with Barack?
That’s right folks…she would have to beat Obama by 30% in every primary from here on out.
So if you ever wonder why people are calling for her to drop out of the race, remember this post.
This entry was posted on Monday, May 5th, 2008 and is filed under Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Pledged Delegates, Super Delegates!!!. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.