ARG: Obama Up 12 In New Hampshire

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, New Hampshire, Polls, Republicans

These findings are actually quite a bit of surprise given how strong McCain’s brand is in the Granite State, but the key here is that Independents favor Obama by a 15 point spread.

Obama – 51%
McCain – 39%

Here’s how the demos break down…

Party ID of likely voters
Democrats – 31%
Republicans – 31%
Independent – 38%

Candidate preference by party ID
Democrats – Obama +84
Republicans – McCain +64
Independent – Obama +15

Gender: Male (48% of likely voters)
Obama – 48%
McCain – 47%

Gender: Female (52% of likely voters)
Obama – 54%
McCain – 32%

Age: 18 to 49 (45% of likely voters)
Obama – 48%
McCain – 41%

Age: 50 & older (55% of likely voters)
Obama – 53%
McCain – 37%

What’s more, 43% of those polled said they’d never vote for McCain, while only 25% said they’d never vote for Obama? Could this be backlash from McCain’s rightward shift?

More as it develops…


This entry was posted on Wednesday, June 18th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, New Hampshire, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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