Rasmussen: Obama Leads By 5 In Montana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Montana, Polls, Republicans

Obama – 48%
McCain – 43%

Well, how about that? A state that Bush won by 20 points in 2004 and 25 points in 2000 has the potential to go blue?

Also, last month the numbers were reversed, so this represents a +10 net gain for Obama in a state many wouldn’t think he has a chance to be competitive in. Now the McCain camp will most definitely be looking at spending money in a place where they probably never thought they would have to.

Rasmussen has some more about how historic this would be…

Even Bob Dole managed to win Montana, albeit by a narrow 44% to 41% margin (Ross Perot picked up 14% of the vote).

The last Democrat to win Montana was Bill Clinton in 1992. He did so with 38% of the vote. The first President Bush got 35% of the Montana vote while Ross Perot picked up 26%.

Some credit must be given to Dem Governor Brian Schweitzer, who has really helped redefine the blue brand in that state and is being floated as a dark horse VP candidate.

One last note, Montana only has 3 electoral college votes, but in an election some say will be exceptionally close, a state like this could really set the stage for landslide territory.

More as it develops…

This entry was posted on Thursday, July 3rd, 2008 and is filed under Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Montana, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

2 Responses to “Rasmussen: Obama Leads By 5 In Montana”

  1. Donklephant » Blog Archive » Rasmussen: McCain And Obama Tied…In North Dakota??? Says:

    [...] capturing one or two of these safely red states come election time. After all, Rasmussen showed Obama up by 5 in Montana recently, a state that Bush won by 20 points in 2004 and 25 points in [...]

  2. Donklephant » Blog Archive » Rasmussen: McCain Leads By 4 In South Dakota Says:

    [...] shared some surprising numbers recently that showed Obama leading by 5 in Montana and the two candidates tied in North Dakota…states that went for Bush in 2004 by 20 and 28 [...]

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