Pew Poll: Obama 52%, McCain 38%

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in Barack, McCain, Polls

What to say to this?

I honestly have a hard time believing that he’s ahead by 14%, but Pew is one of the few polling organizations that have adjusted for cell phone only users. Also, when it comes to “likely” voters he’s ahead by 14% again, 53% to 39%.

So what’s the deal? Why are so many people jumping ship from the Republican?

One word: confidence.

Here’s more…

Obama’s strong showing in the current poll reflects greater confidence in the Democratic candidate personally. More voters see him as “well-qualified” and “down-to-earth” than did so a month ago. Obama also is inspiring more confidence on several key issues, including Iraq and terrorism, than he did before the debates. Most important, Obama now leads McCain as the candidate best able to improve economic conditions by a wider margin (53% to 32%).

Obama’s gains notwithstanding, a widespread loss of confidence in McCain appears to be the most significant factor in the race at this point. Many more voters express doubts about McCain’s judgment than about Obama’s: 41% see McCain as “having poor judgment,” while just 29% say that this trait describes Obama.

This is what Obama’s campaign has been all about since the very beginning. Change vs. More Of The Same and Judgement vs. Experience. He’s winning both arguments and the numbers reflect exactly that.

More as it develops…

This entry was posted on Tuesday, October 21st, 2008 and is filed under Barack, McCain, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

2 Responses to “Pew Poll: Obama 52%, McCain 38%”

  1. mw Says:

    One thing is for certain, there is no stopping them. The Democrats will soon take over. And I for one welcome our new Democratic overlords. I’d like to remind them that as a trusted independent blogger, I can be helpful in rounding up others to toil in their mandatory volunteer service corps.

  2. Pew Research Poll: Barry “Steve” Obama Leads Señor McCain, 52%-38% | THE GUN TOTING LIBERALâ„¢ Says:

    [...] today’s polls; Justin Gardner of Donklephant says this all gets down to ONE word, “confidence“; CA Pol Junkie of The Left Coaster goes into an impressive Real Clear Politics-ish breakdown [...]

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