Gallup: Obama Up By 11, 9, 8

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in Barack, McCain, Polls

All good movement today for Obama, and I can’t help but think this is linked to his infomerical on Wednesday.

The biggest news here I think is that Obama is up by 8 in Gallup’s traditional model, with Obama hitting his high of 51% and McCain hitting his low of 43%. That’s extremely bad news for McCain.

What’s more, Obama is above 50% in every model, so the likelihood of McCain turning it around at this point is quickly becoming nonexistent.

Registered Voters: Obama +11


Likely Voters (Expanded Model): Obama +9


Likely Voters (Traditional Model): Obama +8


Gallup talks about the infomercial…

Since Tuesday, McCain’s support among traditional likely voters has dropped by four points (from 47% to 43%), Obama’s has risen by two points (from 49% to 51%), and the percentage of undecided voters has increased from 4% to 6%.

Thursday night’s interviews are the first conducted entirely after Obama’s widely viewed 30-minute prime-time campaign ad, which ran on several television networks Wednesday evening. Obama held a substantial lead over McCain in last night’s polling, however no greater than what Gallup found on Wednesday.

Obama’s lead among expanded likely voters is only slightly greater than that seen among traditional likely voters. He now leads McCain by nine-points, 52% to 43%, using this looser definition that does not factor in whether respondents have voted in past elections, but strictly relies on their reported level of interest and intention to vote in the 2008 election.

More tomorrow…


This entry was posted on Friday, October 31st, 2008 and is filed under Barack, McCain, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

One Response to “Gallup: Obama Up By 11, 9, 8”

  1. I Don't Like You Either Says:

    Polling News for the Faint-Hearted Progressive…

    by Blue Stockings | This is why I try to ignore polls and commentary on polls. What’s the point in false reassurance NOW if it means that you are confronted unprepared with REAL reality later? What’s the point in making…

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