Archive for October, 2008

Sarah The Scapegoat

By Doug Mataconis | Related entries in 2008 Election, McCain, Palin

According to Roger Simon, John McCain’s aides and allies are ready to blame what appears to be an impending election loss on Sarah Palin:
John McCain’s campaign is looking for a scapegoat. It is looking for someone to blame if McCain loses on Tuesday.
And it has decided on Sarah Palin.
In recent days, a McCain “adviser” told [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 13 Comments »

Boston Tea Party Brewed From Boxing Manager, 70’s Porn Star and Ex-Libertarians

By Glenn Church | Related entries in 2008 Election, 3rd Party

(A series on little-known Presidential candidates)
In 2006, The Boston Tea Party broke from the Libertarian Party and adopted the most concise platform of any organized party in the country.
“The Boston Tea Party supports reducing the size, scope and power of government at all levels and on all issues, and opposes increasing the size, scope and [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

The Trouble With Change

By Alan Stewart Carl | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, History, McCain, United States

Writing in the Los Angeles Times, Andrew J. Bacevich warns us not to expect big changes from the next president.
Bacevich’s reasons that the forces of large special interests, existing government commitments and allies and adversaries with strident self-interests will conspire to tie the hands of the next president. Bacevich is correct. If history has taught [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 7 Comments »

26 Million Watched Obama Infomercial

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Media, Video

Including this man, who accounted for 17 of the viewings.
More from WSJ:
Barack Obama’s prime-time infomercial drew 26.3 million viewers across three broadcast networks last night, according to early ratings from Nielsen Media Research.
That number includes data from the top 56 television markets Nielsen rates and only includes viewers who watched the 8 p.m. half-hour special [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

What Did Infomerical Pitchman Think Of Obama’s Infomercial

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Media

Yep, it’s Matthew Lesko, the guy who looks like the Riddler with a bad case of ADHD. If you’ve never seen one of his infomercial, he basically yells at people to buy his book that tells them how to get free stuff from the government.
John McCain would not be pleased.
In any event, he liked Obama’s [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

McCain’s Road To 270

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Electoral College, McCain, Polls, Video

Chuck Todd and Joe Scarborough break it down…

Do note how Mike Murphy says, “I think they’re smoking crack,” when he talks about McCain trying to get Iowa. I still don’t get why McCain is paying any attention to that state.
Long story short…it’ll be incredibly tough.

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Gallup: Obama Up 8, 7, 5

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, Polls

Some good and bad movement for both candidates today, but the biggest pro-Obama movement comes in the model where McCain was closest.
Perhaps the past couple days were just a momentary blip? Because it doesn’t look like McCain has been able to keep any sort of advantage he gained.
Registered Voters: Obama +8

Likely Voters (Expanded Model): Obama [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Mason/Dixon: Race Tight In Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Arizona

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Arizona, Barack, McCain, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Polls

A bit of a surprise today, especially with the Pennsylvania and Minnesota numbers. Because I think this is one of the first polls I’ve seen that suggests those races are even close.
Pennsylvania: Obama +4
Obama: 47%
McCain: 43%
Minnesota: Obama + 8
Obama: 48%
McCain: 40%
Arizona: McCain +4
McCain: 48%
Obama: 44%
Frankly, I don’t buy the PA or MN numbers since they [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 3 Comments »

Voter Fraud, Or People Who Shouldn’t Be Voting At All ?

By Doug Mataconis | Related entries in 2008 Election

Jazz Shaw at The Moderate Voice links to a story from Columbus, Ohio that raises some very difficult questions:
In Highland County, 95-year-old Mildred Meddock registered and voted for the first time in her life despite her advanced Alzheimer’s disease.
Her granddaughters learned of her newfound patriotism when they visited the nursing home where Meddock lives and [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 8 Comments »

Bad Economic News Continues

By Alan Stewart Carl | Related entries in Economy

Numbers are in for the third quarter of 2008, and the U.S. economy shrank by .3 percent. This comes after 2.8 percent growth in the second quarter, meaning we’re still one more negative growth quarter away from officially being in a recession.
But signs aren’t good. Consumer spending, which fuels two thirds of our economic growth, [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Pushing Obama Towards the Middle

By Alan Stewart Carl | Related entries in Barack, Congress, Democrats

In the Daily News, centrist Democrat Bob Kerrey explains how Barack Obama, if elected, can succeed.
The key passage:
By my lights, the primary threat to the success of a President Obama will come from some Democrats who, emboldened by the size of their congressional majority, may try to kill trade agreements, raise taxes in ways [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 14 Comments »

Rasmussen: Obama Up By 5

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, Polls

Obama – 51%
McCain – 46%
McCain loses one and Obama gains one to stop McCain’s gains…at least for one day.
Rasmussen has the trends and such…
This is the 35th straight day that Obama’s support has been between 50% and 52%. With the exception of yesterday, McCain’s support has stayed between 44% and 46% during that stretch.
Within their [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Obama And McCain Return To Familiar Themes

By Doug Mataconis | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain

With five days left until Election Day, both John McCain and Barack Obama are returning to familiar themes as the make their final push for votes.
For Obama, that means a return to the change theme that was part of his primary campaign:
SUNRISE, Fla. — As he races across the country in the climax of a [...]

October 30th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

McCain Gets Major Endorsement

By Alan Stewart Carl | Related entries in 2008 Election, McCain, News

Well, this may be the endorsement that swings the entire election.

October 29th, 2008 | Permalink| 3 Comments »

Another Sucker for Obama

By Alan Stewart Carl | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain

This afternoon, I voted. I cast a ballot that was about 80% Republican, including votes for my Republican Senator and Republican Representative.
But for president, I voted for Barack Obama.
I’m not going to fill this post with convoluted justifications. Anyone who has read my numerous criticisms of Obama knows that I did not vote for [...]

October 29th, 2008 | Permalink| 23 Comments »

Obama’s Infomerical

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Media, Video

It’s called “American Stories, American Solutions” and this is the whole thing except for the live speech which was at the end of the original broadcast…

By the way, concerning that live speech, I think they could have done without. It really didn’t add anything.
Nate Silver agrees…
7:29 PM. That was very good, although I actually think [...]

October 29th, 2008 | Permalink| 13 Comments »

TIME/CNN: McCain, Obama Split Battlegrounds

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Missouri, Polls, Virginia

The big news here is that Colorado is really starting to turn blue, and nearly every news organization has changed it to lean Obama.
Because while wins in Georgia and Missouri would be nice, Obama doesn’t need them. But he does need wins in Colorado, Virginia and Nevada if he doesn’t want to worry about Ohio, [...]

October 29th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Quinnipiac: Obama Leads In Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Florida, McCain, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Polls

Quinnipiac thinks it’s too little too late for McCain in Ohio and Pennsylvania, but thinks he could pull it off in Florida. I still don’t think Obama can pull Ohio off, but I’m willing to be wrong. :-)
The numbers and cross tabs…

Florida: Obama +2
Obama: 47%
McCain: 45%
(Obama was ahead by 5)
Among those who say they already [...]

October 29th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Is McCain In Trouble In Arizona?

By Doug Mataconis | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain

Earlier this week, I noted that the latest Rasmussen poll of Arizona showed that John McCain was leading by only five points in his home state.
Now, there’s a poll showing that McCain’s lead has shrunk to two points:
In what could be potentially very embarrassing development for Sen. John McCain, a number of polls out of [...]

October 29th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

AP Poll: Obama Leads In 8 Swing States

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Colorado, Florida, McCain, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Polls, Virginia

Good signs on the state level (.pdf), even if Obama’s numbers are slipping a bit nationally in the past couple days.
Colorado: Obama +9
Obama: 50%
McCain: 41%
Florida: Obama + 2
Obama: 45%
McCain: 43%
Nevada: Obama +12
Obama: 52%
McCain: 40%
New Hampshire: Obama +18
Obama: 55%
McCain: 37%
North Carolina: Obama +2
Obama: 48%
McCain: 46%
Ohio: Obama +7
Obama: 48%
McCain: 41%
Pennsylvania: Obama +12
Obama: 52%
McCain: 40%
Virginia: Obama + 7
Obama: [...]

October 29th, 2008 | Permalink| 9 Comments »