Charlie Cook Talks Electoral Predictions

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in Electoral College, Video

Not surprisingly, he doesn’t see good things for McCain.

In fact, it’s so grim that he essentially says that if McCain wins, nobody should trust him anymore. Pretty bold, but I have the same feelings. I know people have been hemming and hawing about the fact that “anything” could happen, but nobody has provided any sort of reality to back that up.

In any event…check out this clip…



Also, check out the map over at Cook’s website, which is different than MSNBC’s…

Pretty stunning, no?

According to Cook, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota and Georgia are in the toss up column.

As I’ve said many times in the past, I don’t think any of these will turn blue this season, but if they do it’ll be devastating for the Republican party and would probably signal a 60 seat supermajority in the Senate.


This entry was posted on Saturday, November 1st, 2008 and is filed under Electoral College, Video. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

4 Responses to “Charlie Cook Talks Electoral Predictions”

  1. Chris Says:

    Something caught my eye in that video, it showed WI being red in 2004. I’m fairly sure it wasn’t. yeah just checked, Kerry won WI in 2004. weird.

  2. ExiledIndependent Says:

    If the polls are off by 5% (and how accurate were they during the primaries this election season? Not very), what does that do to the numbers?

  3. Avinash_Tyagi Says:

    Depends on which way, off as in understating Obama’s support (more likely considering early turnout) or off as in overstating his support, if the former than Obama goes from winning decisively, around 350 EVs, to probably carrying over 450 EVs, other way around, it becomes a nail biter that probably comes down to the wire in one state, the reason is, Obama has a firewall of states that are trending more than 5% in his direction, so even a five point shift in favor of McCain wouldn’t assure McCain of victory, it would only give him a chance, however early turnout and enthusiasm is firmly on Obama’s side, so it doesn’t seem very likely

  4. Donklephant » Blog Archive » CBS/NY Times: Obama Has 19 Point Lead With Early Voters Says:

    [...] McCain still turn it around? Well, I’m with Charlie Cook on this [...]

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