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Chuck Todd’s 50 State Election Preview Orgy

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain

Here are the “A” states…

  • Alabama: While the state isn’t really in play on the presidential level, there are a couple of hot House races, including a very rare open Democratic seat in the 5th District. The 2nd District, an open Republican seat, is also competitive. The large turnout among African-Americans could give Democrats a sweep of both.

  • Alaska: Before John McCain picked Sarah Palin, I used to say, “As Alaska goes, so goes the landslide.” My reasoning had everything to do with the battering the state’s two longtime Republican congressional leaders – Sen. Ted Stevens and Rep. Don Young – were taking in the press and in the courts. The sour mood among Republicans inside the state seemed to be doing enough damage that Obama would be competitive with McCain in the state.

  • Arizona: Could Arizona be to McCain what Tennessee was to Gore? Possibly, but is it what Tennessee was to Gore in 1996 or 2000? What folks don’t realize is that Tennessee almost slipped away from the Clinton-Gore ticket in ’96 but was saved at the last minute. I think that’s what’s happening in Arizona. This is a lean-Red swing state that every two years during the last eight has shown evidence of moving toward the Democrats. If McCain weren’t on the ballot, Obama would have contested this state from the beginning.

  • Arkansas: This could be the only state Obama doesn’t carry that sports a Democratic governor and two Democratic senators. As Obama’s poll numbers have surged in a bunch of states, one of the most surprising things is the numbers haven’t moved in Arkansas.

Seriously, this is a must read for folks who want to be “in the know” come election night.


This entry was posted on Saturday, November 1st, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, McCain. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

3 Responses to “Chuck Todd’s 50 State Election Preview Orgy”

  1. Ican Achieve Says:
    November 1st, 2008 at 9:36 pm

    How does this guy have any credibility…..he virtually called everything wrong in 2004. This guy is the Mel Kiper of political prognostication.

    Don’t blame your situation on others. Your personal industry is your best resource to succeed in this country.

    “The price of greatness is responsibility”- Winston Churchill

    http://windsofchange.thruhere.net/

  2. T Minus Two Days | kevin crafts dot com Says:
    November 2nd, 2008 at 9:09 pm

    [...] Donklephant » Blog Archive » Chuck Todd’s 50 State Election … [...]

  3. What Are Those Medical Records Hiding? | kevin crafts dot com Says:
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