« Nationwide 2008 Poll Closing Times
Whatever Happened To The Loyal Opposition? »

Tonight Will Not Be A Landslide

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in Barack, Electoral College, History, McCain

Why?

Because there’s no way they’ll match history…

With the final national polls settling around Obama +7, I realized that I lacked a good sense of historical context for that number. Turns out it’s about the margin of George H.W. Bush’s 1988 win against Michael Dukakis: 53.4% to 45.6%.

That’s certainly impressive. It doesn’t, however, really compare to Ronald Reagan’s 1984 landslide against Walter Mondale. That sucker was 18 points — 58.8% to 40.6%. Incredible. (Reagan beat Carter in 1980 by nearly 10 points.) And it turns out that both LBJ and Richard Nixon (in ’72) won by roughly 23 points. Times have changed, eh?

Still, if Obama can pull out some surprises (like Georgia, Montana or North Dakota), there’s no doubt that people will be saying that word come tomorrow.

Related Posts

Zemanta

This entry was posted on Tuesday, November 4th, 2008 and is filed under Barack, Electoral College, History, McCain. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

One Response to “Tonight Will Not Be A Landslide”

  1. Donklephant » Blog Archive » Don’t Miss A Moment Of Donklephant Today - Part 1 Says:
    November 4th, 2008 at 9:12 am

    [...] Tonight Will Not Be A Landslide [...]

Leave a Reply


NOTE TO COMMENTERS:


You must ALWAYS fill in the two word CAPTCHA below to submit a comment. And if this is your first time commenting on Donklephant, it will be held in a moderation queue for approval. Please don't resubmit the same comment a couple times. We'll get around to moderating it soon enough.


Also, sometimes even if you've commented before, it may still get placed in a moderation queue and/or sent to the spam folder. If it's just in moderation queue, it'll be published, but it may be deleted if it lands in the spam folder. My apologies if this happens but there are some keywords that push it into the spam folder.


One last note, we will not tolerate comments that disparage people based on age, sex, handicap, race, color, sexual orientation, national origin or ancestry. We reserve the right to delete these comments and ban the people who make them from ever commenting here again.


Thanks for understanding and have a pleasurable commenting experience.


Related Posts: