Indiana Goes For Obama. Missouri Goes For McCain.

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in Barack, Indiana, McCain, Missouri

I don’t know if there will be a recount in either state because the totals are so close, but as I predicted…Missouri didn’t pick the winner for only the second time in over 100 years.

On the other hand, Indiana delivered for Obama and I think it was clear from very early in the evening that if McCain was having trouble with Indiana, his dream was pretty much over.

This is how the AP saw it around 2 am Eastern this morning…

WASHINGTON (AP) — Another state that hasn’t voted for a Democrat for president in quite a while has done so this time.

By a narrow margin, Barack Obama is the winner in Indiana. The state’s polls were among the first to close, but the outcome wasn’t clear until long after Obama’s victory speech.

The last time Indiana voted for a Democrat for president was when Lyndon Johnson was elected in 1964.

The only question now: has it really turned blue? I have my doubts. I think deep, deep resentment for the Republicans will be replaced with maybe not-as-deep resentment for the Democrats.

We shall see…


This entry was posted on Wednesday, November 5th, 2008 and is filed under Barack, Indiana, McCain, Missouri. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

4 Responses to “Indiana Goes For Obama. Missouri Goes For McCain.”

  1. Doug Mataconis Says:

    Justin,

    McCain’s victory margin was only a few thousand votes larger than Stevenson’s in 1956, the last time this happened:

    http://tinyurl.com/6dcztl

  2. Jim S Says:

    FiveThirtyEight still doesn’t show Missouri as having been called.

  3. Tim in Wisconsin Says:

    The real problem with Indiana was no one bothered contesting it until now. There were a couple of factors coming together that made Indiana appear a lot less swingy than it really was. One is its late primary. No candidates ever bothered visiting the state during primary season because the nomination was wrapped up well before then. Another factor is the absurdly early poll closing time. Indiana showed up as a bright red spot on a blank map at 6:00:01 EST every election (back when networks would run with the exit polls as soon as possible), so it was ingrained in the minds of the electorate that Indiana was a deep red state.

    Indiana has shown signs that it was a flippable state for years, including numerous Democrat senators and governors. But no Democrat candidate for President would attempt to campaign in Indiana until now.

    What changed? One was the fact that Indiana’s primary counted this year. Thanks to the drawn out nominating process for the nomination, the candidates actually had to visit and hold rallies in Indiana. Voter registration and excitement skyrocketed. Dormant Democrats actually got an opportunity to have a say in an election, and they took advantage of it. Even though Obama lost the Indiana primary, the fact that there were over a million people who voted as Democrats in the primary showed that there was a decently-sized base that was hungry to have an impact in the national election. The other big factor is the state’s proximity to Illinois. The Obama campaign could easily send workers and volunteers to Indiana since they weren’t needed in Illinois.

  4. Congratulations to Obama Field Office Staff and Volunteers | Porch Dog Says:

    [...] That’s where Masket’s research comes in. He found a statistically measurable difference in counties where Obama had a field office versus counties where he did not. I’m not the guy to critique his model or his research. Read it yourself at the third link above and decide on your own. However, he does note that this difference was significant enough to have won him three very hotly contested states: Florida, North Carolina, and Indiana. [...]

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