Poll: Obama’s Healthcare Reform Opposition Waning

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in Barack, Health Care, health care reform, Legislation, Obama, Polls

As this issue becomes less politicized, more folks seem to warm to the legislation.

Wait…what???

To me this is encouraging. Of course, we all know there are problems with the legislation that passed, but I think we can also collectively agree that the current system is completely unsustainable. So some type of fix had to be made, and Obama made his move.

Personally, I didn’t think it was smart politically, but I respect that he was able to at least draw some support from the other side of the aisle wit the compromises he made. After all, politics is the art of the possible, not the ideal.

Here’s more from Wash Post:

Opposition to the landmark health care overhaul declined over the past month, to 35 percent from 41 percent, according to the latest results of a tracking poll, reported Thursday.

Fifty percent of the public held a favorable view of the law, up slightly from 48 percent a month ago, while 14 percent expressed no opinion about the measure, according to the poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation.

The approval level was the highest for the legislation since it was enacted in March, after a divisive year-long debate. In April, the poll found 46 percent in favor and 40 percent opposed.

But wait…what do independents think?

Well, they’re more in favor than they were…

Independents, who can tip the balance in elections, split 48 percent to 37 percent in favor, compared with 49 percent to 41 percent a month earlier.

However…

The intensity of opinion among this group showed little change; just less than a fifth expressed a very favorable view, and just more than a quarter expressed a very unfavorable view.

So some in the middle have switched to the undecided column. That’s net win for Obama and Dems, regardless of the unfavorable view.

And that begs the big question: do we really think that Republicans can run on “Repeal It!” this year or in 2012?

I think not.

What do you think?


This entry was posted on Thursday, July 29th, 2010 and is filed under Barack, Health Care, health care reform, Legislation, Obama, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

15 Responses to “Poll: Obama’s Healthcare Reform Opposition Waning”

  1. Tweets that mention Donklephant » Blog Archive » Poll: Obama’s Healthcare Reform Opposition Waning -- Topsy.com Says:

    [...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Justin Gardner, Donklephant. Donklephant said: DONKLEPHANT: Poll: Obama’s Healthcare Reform Opposition Waning http://ow.ly/18lY0i [...]

  2. Simon Says:

    Rasmussen’s numbers are here. He reports that a 60%-36% majority favors repeal, comprising not only the predictable 81% of Republicans, but also 65% of independents. So we have contradictory data.

  3. Simon Says:

    And Justin, of course you don’t want the GOP to run on repeal! You support Obamacare, do you not? And you’re opposed to repeal, are you not? If the GOP declines to run on repeal, that advances (or at least secures) your policy agenda. Gazelles should suspect ulterior motives behind dieting tips from Cheetahs.

  4. kranky kritter Says:

    This doesn’t surprise me at all, The intensity has ratcheted down enough for a few indepependents and moderates to talk themselves into a wait and see attitude.

    I think it would be a HUGE mistake for the GOP to run on repeal. It would stink badly of sore loserism in the noses of folks outside conservative circles, reinforces GOP negatives among the groups where they need more votes. The republican Party is not going to re-take power by playing the ceaselessly playing the role of the angry antis.

    It just hasn’t been long enough since the GOP had the White House and Congress.

    It would be even worse for the GOP if they somehow managed to successfully do the repeal. If they did, continued deterioration of healthcare provision would officially be ALL THEIR FAULT.

  5. Simon Says:

    kranky kritter Says:

    I think it would be a HUGE mistake for the GOP to run on repeal. It would stink badly of sore loserism in the noses of folks outside conservative circles, reinforces GOP negatives among the groups where they need more votes.

    Not if Rasmussen’s numbers are right. Again, the brutally simple math of election 2010 is this: a united GOP needs 58% of independents to win. That’s the reality of the current breakdown in voter registration. If repeal unites the party and 60% of independents support (or will at least go along with) repeal, as Rasmussen’s numbers say they do, it’s a winner.

    As to your last point, it’s worth noting that Obamacare isn’t going to be repealed in 2011. We probably won’t have the votes to get it through the Senate, and we certainly won’t have the votes to override Obama’s veto. That isn’t the point of running on a repeal platform in 2010. The point is to pass a repeal bill, forcing Senate Democrats, or, better yet, the President, to block it. In the meantime, we will see “continued deterioration of healthcare provision,” all of which sets the stage for the showdown in 2012, where we can run on removing the stumbling blocks to repeal: the President and any Senate Democrat who supported Obamacare. The goal is to keep the pressure on and leverage public opposition with a view to full repeal in 2013.

  6. Alistair Says:

    Rasmussen polls are not reliable.

  7. Simon Says:

    You’re right, Alistair, Rasmussen isn’t anywhere near so reliable as, say, Research 2000. And Nate Silver certainly never defended Rasmussen against claims of their bias or noted their past accuracy.

    Here’s why you and your stablemates don’t think Rasmussen is reliable, Alistair: because you don’t like his results. The rest of us are content to evaluate polling companies based on their record, which in Rasmussen’s case, is sound.

  8. Alistair Says:

    Really then why was he paid consultant for the 2004 George W. Bush campaign?

    http://guamo.is-a-geek.com/tag/is-rasmussen-poll-used-by-fox-news-a-scam/

  9. Simon Says:

    Do you have a relevant point to make, or are you hoping that we’ll mistake that for one?

  10. kranky kritter Says:

    Simon, even you admit it’s a “full court shot.”

    I understand your thinking that it provides advantageous positioning for the party as part of the effort to unseat Obama, a necessary precursor to repeal.

    What the GOP really needs is a viable candidate for that. Good luck finding that viable candidate who wants to put the majority of his or her eggs into the basket of the repeal strategy. A goal that even its biggest proponent calls a full court shot. A shot which by the way is also called a Hail Mary.

  11. Simon Says:

    KK, First, Gingrich and Romney have already backed repeal, and it’s very likely that any other serious contender will be able to resist following their lead. Polls repeatedly show that the GOP is all-but unanimous in supporting repeal, so it’s hard to imagine a candidate opposed to repeal emerging from the primary.

    Second, it’s a full court shot because it relies on obtaining a filibuster-proof majority. The GOP can’t be counted on to back repeal, but the Democrats can be counted on to oppose it. That means that the GOP has to win for us to have any shot of repeal. The math isn’t difficult.

    Lastly, I’m hardly the “biggest proponent” of repeal.

  12. kranky kritter Says:

    KK, First, Gingrich and Romney have already backed repeal, and it’s very likely that any other serious contender will be able to resist following their lead.

    I presume you meant UNlikely. BTW I don’t think Gingrich will be swaying the field as an actual candidate, if that’s what you are implying.

    There’s a big difference between de rigeur support and making it the centerpiece. Romney will of course support it. Will he devote the kinf of tireless work and effort that it will take? Of course not. He’ssmart enough to pick his battles. A hail mary is a hail mary. Perhaps you are right that Americans will adore Republicans for their insistence upon keeping the spotlight on HCR. I don’t see it.

    I’m hardly the “biggest proponent” of repeal.

    Really, so who’s more in favor of it than you? You’re the most ardent one I’ve personally come across. That’s really all I meant.

  13. Divided We Stand United We Fall Says:

    CRS: “The precise number of new entities that will ultimately be created pursuant to PPACA [Obamacare] is currently unknowable”…

    Some Democrats have taken comfort in a recent tracking poll indicating that opposition to Obamacare has marginally decreased. I?d put that in the same category of self-delusion as ?America is a center-left country?,?demographic realignment means a perm…

  14. mw Says:

    Hey Justin,
    Your “show me” home state just showed everyone a much more accurate and meaningful “poll” about how American voters really feel about Obamacare, than the one cited in this post. As goes Missouri – So goes the nation?

    Any GOP candidate who does not run hard against Obamacare is missing the boat.

  15. Donklephant » Blog Archive » Congressional Research Service: “The precise number of new entities that will ultimately be created pursuant to PPACA is currently unknowable” Says:

    […] Democrats have taken comfort in a recent tracking poll indicating that opposition to Obamacare has marginally decreased. I’d put that in the same […]

Leave a Reply


NOTE TO COMMENTERS:


You must ALWAYS fill in the two word CAPTCHA below to submit a comment. And if this is your first time commenting on Donklephant, it will be held in a moderation queue for approval. Please don't resubmit the same comment a couple times. We'll get around to moderating it soon enough.


Also, sometimes even if you've commented before, it may still get placed in a moderation queue and/or sent to the spam folder. If it's just in moderation queue, it'll be published, but it may be deleted if it lands in the spam folder. My apologies if this happens but there are some keywords that push it into the spam folder.


One last note, we will not tolerate comments that disparage people based on age, sex, handicap, race, color, sexual orientation, national origin or ancestry. We reserve the right to delete these comments and ban the people who make them from ever commenting here again.


Thanks for understanding and have a pleasurable commenting experience.


Related Posts: