Donklephant » Blog Archive » Gallup Poll: 13-Point Lead For Hillary Clinton

Gallup Poll: 13-Point Lead For Hillary Clinton

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Hillary, Polls

Take a look at the 13-point “lead” Hill has opened up on Obama…

On the other hand, Rasmussen has the spread at 4 percent, with Hillary taking 46% to Barack’s 42.

One thing to note about the Gallup poll, it was taken over the weekend and on Monday, so it was off by 12.6%. Why that specific of a number? Because I go back to the popular vote last night.

Clinton: 50.2% (7,347,971)
Obama: 49.8% (7,294,851)

That’s as close to a national “poll” as we’ll get this primary season and it shows Hillary in the lead by 0.4% or 53,120 votes. Pay attention to this number and the number of pledged delegates, because they’re the only two that matter (note: I still think super delegates will fall in line with whoever has the most pledged delegates).

Ultimate takeaway…the polls this season are all over the place and a lot of them (ahem, Zogby…Obama up 13 points in Cali?) can’t even be seen as realiable indicators anymore. Although I do think the folks over at Pollster do a good job of aggregating polls and find trends. But taken alone, you or I could guess better than most of these.

This entry was posted on Wednesday, February 6th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Hillary, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

2 Responses to “Gallup Poll: 13-Point Lead For Hillary Clinton”

LB Says:
February 6th, 2008 at 5:31 pm
If you look at the average poll results for this primary season so far…gallup has been far more reliable…on average than Rasmussen – which probably isn’t saying much – and probably the truth is somewhere in between. That said, if the trend continues with Gallup tomorrow…then one can say that Hillary might have some momentum and the BO dosn’t necessarily have all the momentum. On the one hand I say that with caution as Super T. is not factored into today’s numbers but…BO is getting a tiny tiny bit of negative press about his campaigning…if that little negative gets a little louder…perhaps her trend will continue.
Pseudo-Polymath » Blog Archive » Thursday Highlights Says:
February 7th, 2008 at 9:25 am
[...] Back to the cricket races. [...]

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