Gallup: Obama Leads By 6
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, RepublicansWell, no sooner do I post that Rasmussen’s numbers seem to be getting steady with Gallup’s, than do I see a 3 point net gain for Obama today.
Isn’t daily polling wonderful?
In the last two weeks, Obama’s share of the vote has ranged between 46% and 48%, while McCain’s has ranged from 42% to 44%. So while preferences have not shifted dramatically, Obama enjoys a larger lead in the latest report because his support is now at the upper end of his recent range while McCain’s is at the lower end of his.The numbers for the last three individual nights of polling have been consistent — with Obama’s advantage over McCain ranging from four to seven points — further reinforcing the notion that preferences at this point of the campaign are quite stable.
While I do think the numbers are remaining fairly stable…let’s just say that Obama wins the popular vote by 6%. I mean, that’d be a big deal, and would almost certainly ensure that he’d be getting into landslide territory.
So while these numbers may suggest stability, it’s important to put in perspective the difference between leading by 2 and leading by 6.
More tomorrow…
This entry was posted on Friday, July 11th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
