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NBC’s Electoral Map Points To Obama Win

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Electoral College, McCain, Polls, Video

Yesterday, I talked about how the map is predicting an electoral disaster for McCain.

Chuck Todd talks about how NBC’s very conservative map now predicts 286 electoral votes for Obama…

Now do know that Obama only needs Colorado on NBC’s map to win, but they now agree that both Colorado and Virginia are trending towards the Dems.

Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight is predicting 348 for Obama…

At this point, I think he could get more than that. Especially after that weird hoax story.

More as it develops…

This entry was posted on Saturday, October 25th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Electoral College, McCain, Polls, Video. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

One Response to “NBC’s Electoral Map Points To Obama Win”

bunny fufu Says:
October 25th, 2008 at 12:44 pm
Not that it matters really, but just a clarification on the 538 number of 348EV. 348 is an average number of EV Obama would get that made more sense when the EV’s seemed more binomially distributed. O’s lead is so big according to their model that it’s more relevant to state the most likely amount of EV’s he’d get. Currently of the 10,000 simulations they ran, ~2000 simulations result in O getting 375EV. The second most likely result is 378EV. Between those two possible EV outcomes, you can roughly estimate from their graph that there is at least 25% chance that he’s hit landslide amount.

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