Quote Of The Day

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in Democrats, Quotes, Republicans, Rove

“History will favor Republicans in 2010. Since World War II, the out-party has gained an average of 23 seats in the U.S. House and two in the U.S. Senate in a new president’s first midterm election. Other than FDR and George W. Bush, no president has gained seats in his first midterm election in both chambers.”
- Karl Rove in a new column in the Wall Street Journal

And you know what? He has a point. And if Rove knows anything, he knows the national mood. Because let’s remember, he predicted an Obama win.

Here’s more…

In a sign Mr. Obama’s victory may have been more personal than partisan or philosophical, Democrats picked up just 10 state senate seats (out of 1,971) and 94 state house seats (out of 5,411). By comparison, when Ronald Reagan beat Jimmy Carter in 1980, Republicans picked up 112 state senate seats (out of 1,981) and 190 state house seats (out of 5,501).

In the states this year, five chambers shifted from Republican to Democrats, while four shifted from either tied or Democratic control to Republican control. In the South, Mr. Obama had “reverse coattails.” Republicans gained legislative seats across the region. In Tennessee both the house and senate now have GOP majorities for the first time since the Civil War.

This matters because the 2010 Census could allocate as many as four additional congressional districts to Texas, two each to Arizona and Florida, and one district to each of a number of (mostly) red-leaning states, while subtracting seats from (mostly) blue-leaning states like Michigan, New York, Ohio and Pennsylvania and, for the first time, California. Redistricting and reapportionment could help tilt the playing field back to the GOP in Congress and the race for the White House by moving seven House seats (and electoral votes) from mostly blue to mostly red states.

Even more reason for Dems to not overreach?

Absolutely.


This entry was posted on Thursday, November 13th, 2008 and is filed under Democrats, Quotes, Republicans, Rove. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

One Response to “Quote Of The Day”

  1. crazydudeinoregon Says:

    can’t tell if you’re being sarcastic, or not?

    outside of the obama prediction (which nearly all the
    polls guaranteed) mr. rove missed most of his other calls.

    his track record really started to suffer after his
    disastrous positions on the 2006 mid-terms.

    while historical trends for a president’s
    first mid-term election typically show lost seats, it
    seems awfully early to be talking about the next
    cycle. doesn’t it?

    the 2008 election suggests a changing electorate.
    couple that with all the unknowns of an obama
    presidency and i, for one, would be a bit more
    careful making (and spreading) such claims.

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