Rasmussen: Obama Tied, Up 2
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, RepublicansWith leaners
Obama – 46%
McCain – 46%
Without leaners
Obama – 44%
McCain – 42%
A very pronounced tightening today, with McCain quickly closing the gap.
Some demographic details…
- McCain has 82% of Republicans and has an 11% lead with Independents…
- Obama gets 76% of Democrats…
- McCain takes voters over 65…
- Obama takes voters under 30…
- Voters 30-64 are split evenly among the two candidates…
So how sure are these votes?
Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters are certain they will vote for Obama and not change their mind before November. Another 34% are that certain about voting for McCain. That leaves 32% open to changing their mind before voting and creates a potential for either candidate to open a significant lead in the fall.
Folks, it’s anybody’s ball game…
The 5 day w/leaners:
07/17/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 46%
07/16/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 48%
07/15/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 47%
07/14/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 47%
07/13/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 46%
The 5 day w/o leaners:
07/17/2008: McCain – 42%, Obama – 44%
07/16/2008: McCain – 41%, Obama – 45%
07/15/2008: McCain – 40%, Obama – 44%
07/14/2008: McCain – 42%, Obama – 44%
07/13/2008: McCain – 43%, Obama – 43%
More tomorrow…
This entry was posted on Thursday, July 17th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
July 17th, 2008 at 9:59 am
Will voters under 30 show up this time? It’s one thing to answer a question when asked, it’s another thing to proactively go vote for someone.