Donklephant » Blog Archive » Rasmussen: Obama Up By 1, Tied

Rasmussen: Obama Up By 1, Tied

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans

With leaners
McCain - 47%
Obama - 47%

Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 44%

Obama gained one in each set up numbers today so now he leads by 1 in the “without” leaners numbers, but he’s still not seeing any appreciable bump from the initial Biden announcement, and I think the time has officially passed when he could have expected one.

In fact, that’s exactly what Rasmussen says…

Tracking poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Today’s update is the first to reflect the convention period–just over two-thirds of the interviews were completed after Michelle Obama’s speech on Monday night.

Reviewing recent single-night polling data—rather than the three-day average–shows that Obama lost ground immediately following the selection of Joe Biden as his running mate. That had little or nothing to do with Biden and everything to do with the fact that the running mate was not named Hillary Clinton. The impact of that choice was reflected in the polling results released Tuesday and Wednesday showing modest gains for McCain. [...]

Obama’s poll numbers have improved over the past couple of nights and today’s update shows a tie race because it includes a mix of both recent trends. But it seems likely that Obama will end the convention with a modest lead over McCain. Then, of course, it will be time for the Republican Vice Presidential pick and, next week, the GOP convention.

The 5 day w/leaners:
08/28/2008: McCain - 47%, Obama - 47%
08/27/2008: McCain - 47%, Obama - 46%
08/26/2008: McCain - 46%, Obama - 46%
08/25/2008: McCain - 45%, Obama - 48%
08/24/2008: McCain - 45%, Obama - 48%

The 5 day w/o leaners:
08/28/2008: McCain - 44%, Obama - 45%
08/27/2008: McCain - 44%, Obama - 44%
08/26/2008: McCain - 44%, Obama - 44%
08/25/2008: McCain - 42%, Obama - 46%
08/24/2008: McCain - 43%, Obama - 46%

More tomorrow…

This entry was posted on Thursday, August 28th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Independents, McCain, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

One Response to “Rasmussen: Obama Up By 1, Tied”

Barack Obama Supporters Says:
November 13th, 2008 at 8:47 am
Congratulations to Barack Obama on winning the U.S election.

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