Party ID: 39% Dem, 33.5% Repub, 27.5% Indy
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Democrats, Independents, Polls, RepublicansRasmussen constantly adjusts their party ID numbers so their daily tracking polls portray an accurate view of the electorate as a whole…
The targets are not set arbitrarily. Rather, they are established based upon survey interviews with a separate sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding six weeks. A total of 500 nightly interviews are conducted for a total of 21,000 interviews over the six week period.
And here’s how much variance they’ve seen in party ID in September…
For polling data released during the week of September 21-27, 2008, the partisan weighting targets used by Rasmussen Reports will be 39.0% Democratic, 33.5% Republican, and 27.5% unaffiliated.For the preceding week, September 14-20, 2008, the targets were 38.7% Democratic, 33.6% Republican, and 27.7% unaffiliated.
For the first thirteen days of September, the targets were 39.7% Democrat, 32.1% Republican, and 28.2% unaffiliated.
Just a little look behind the curtain so you know the “how” of these daily tracking polls.
This entry was posted on Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Democrats, Independents, Polls, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
September 23rd, 2008 at 9:13 am
I wonder if the high amount of Dem ID during the summer months was because McCain had it wrapped up and people wanted to vote in the Democratic primary?
It will be interesting to see the party ID #s once Nov comes along. Looking a back at the last two elections it looks like it might be more ID for both Dems and GOP than 06 but less GOP party ID than 04.
GOP Dem Ind
Nov 06 31.4% 37.5% 31.2%
Nov 04 37.1% 38.6% 24.3%