Gallup: Obama Up By 7, 6, 4
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, PollsMcCain gains one and Obama loses one, and now the Rasmussen and Gallup polls show a very similar story.
From here on in, I’ll post the numbers like this: Registered, Likely Expanded, Likely Traditional. That way everybody will get a gauge of how all of Gallup’s models are shaking out.
And, by the way, I’m not exactly sure why Gallup just doesn’t decide on one model and go with that, but here we are nonetheless…
Registered Voters: Obama +7
Likely Voters (Expanded Model): Obama +6
Likely Voters (Traditional Model): Obama +4
While it may seem like McCain’s gaining quite a bit over the past couple days, it’s important to understand that he needs to start really getting a lot closer to 50% if he has any chance of making this thing interesting.
More tomorrow…
This entry was posted on Thursday, October 23rd, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
October 23rd, 2008 at 2:57 pm
Do not be fooled by Obama’s tax cut plan about cutting 95% of people’s tax, but raise top 5% of people’s tax. Sound very good, right? Do not be so naïve to believe you will get tax cut even though you are within 95% of people who earn less than 250K. Because nobody will like to pay tax (it is not patriotic at all to pay more tax). Do you know that those small business owners who created most of the jobs here? If you raise their taxes, they may not make enough profits to keep the business running, keep current employees working, and keep new jobs creating. Tax increasing will push more companies to ship jobs overseas because the cost will be much lower (look at Motor industry). So more jobs will be killed. If you do not have jobs, what good will Obama’s tax plan will do to you? On the other hand, do you think those business owners are willing to pay more tax? No!!! Do you know what they can simply do? Simple solution: passing those extra tax costs to the employees they hire, to the products they produce. For example, for those oil companies, they can simple increate gas price to cover the extra tax costs, so eventually each of us, American people, will be punished. Have you thought about this???
October 23rd, 2008 at 7:31 pm
[...] of the explanation for why election polls tend to tighten as the race gets closer to election day, including this one? Will undecides (the majority of whom probably aren’t thrilled about either candidate) break [...]