Gallup: Obama Up By 8, 7, 5
By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, PollsMcCain lose one in all three models today as he continues to not be able to maintain any sort of support above that 45% threshold. That’s a BIG problem because what this means is undecided voters probably won’t break big for him.
On the other hand, Obama has been at or above 50% consistently throughout the past two months, and so the late shift among undecideds could actually go his way.
Here are the numbers…
Registered Voters: Obama +8
Likely Voters (Expanded Model): Obama +7
Likely Voters (Traditional Model): Obama +5
Gallup with additional details…
Obama’s share of the vote has been within a very narrow range of 49% to 51% among the traditional likely voter group over the last two weeks, and within a 50% to 53% range among the expanded likely voter group.There has been only slightly more fluidity in McCain’s share, ranging from 44% to 47% among traditional likely voters, and 42% to 46% among the expanded group.
These slight shifts in estimates of each candidate’s share are minimal. Nothing so far represents a major change in the structure of the race, and the big picture conclusion is that Obama is maintaining his lead over McCain with less than two weeks to go before Election Day.
More tomorrow…
This entry was posted on Friday, October 24th, 2008 and is filed under 2008 Election, Barack, McCain, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
