Clinton’s Support Eroding in NH
By Dyre42 | Related entries in 2008 Election, Hillary, PollsOddly enough it seems to be going to second tier candidates…
From Fox News:
A FOX News poll of likely New Hampshire Democratic voters finds that Clinton has the support of 30 percent followed by Obama at 23 percent. Edwards comes in third with 17 percent, Richardson receives the support of 12 percent. All other candidates receive 3 percent or less.
Although Clinton has a slim advantage in the trial heat, slightly more Democratic primary voters say they would be very or somewhat satisfied if Obama (74 percent satisfied) were the party’s presidential nominee than if Clinton won (69 percent satisfied).
“We seem to be seeing a softening in the Clinton vote everywhere,” said Opinion Dynamics CEO John Gorman. “The inevitability of a month ago has been replaced by serious sound thoughts. What’s interesting is that this seems to be not a surge to second place Obama, but reexamination of candidates even farther down the list. Edwards is closer to Obama than Obama to Clinton and Richardson closer to Edwards than Edward to Obama. An Edwards second or a Richardson third might shake things up as much as a Hillary defeat.”
Interestingly enough a recent Rasmussen Reports’s poll shows the same trend:
In New Hampshire, home to the first-in-the-nation Presidential Primary, Hillary Clinton’s lead over Barack Obama is now measured in single digits.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone poll of the state’s Likely Primary Voters shows Clinton with 33% of the vote while Obama attracts 26%. John Edwards is the top choice for 15% while Bill Richardson earns 9% of the vote. Joe Biden and Dennis Kucinich are each preferred by 4%.
So on the off chance that the margin of error goes in Obama’s favor that puts him within 1% of Clinton. Given the topsy turvy history of New Hampshire’s primaries I’d be sweating if I were Clinton. Because if Obama pulls 1st in either Iowa or New Hampshire he’ll dispel fears about his electability in South Carolina making SC a very tight race for Clinton given Edwards home field advantage. So much for Clinton’s inevitability. Looks like she’ll have to fight to the finish.
This entry was posted on Saturday, December 1st, 2007 and is filed under 2008 Election, Hillary, Polls. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
December 1st, 2007 at 10:38 pm
No way Hillary loses NH. I’ve been there recently, and her organization trumps the other Democrats. Plus, Shaheen’s people are going to her and getting behind her, and they rule in New Hampshire Democratic politics.
The only hope Obama had was to royally dominate among independents overall, but he is going to split them with Ron Paul, with the very distinct possibility that Paul will actually win a majority of them. Like the McCain campaign ruined Bradley in NH in 2000, so will Ron Paul ruin Obama’s campaign in NH in 2008.
December 2nd, 2007 at 11:31 am
Hillary not only loses in N.H., but S.C and the rest of America. Democrats are fed up, and so are Independents. We do not want a replay of Chinese laundered money, like with HSU / Chung.
We want a President that takes questions from regular hard working people, not planted questions to make her look good. And someone that can be looked up to as being a model American. I want to be able to respect my president.
Hillary Clinton Draws Boos at Iowa Campaign Event, 1 Day After Hostage Situation
Anybody But Clinton…… Simple as ABC….
December 3rd, 2007 at 9:33 am
Keep an eye on results on iReachable online opinion as well:
http://www.ireachable.com/vote
If you are a cacucus participant and taking the poll please , in the affinity section set
org/interest circles 1 = ” caucus participant” where you = IOWA, NH, …
registered as = ‘Democratic’ or ‘Republican’ depending on your party affliation