1st Tier
Clinton: 71,278 for 39%
Obama: 65,334 for 36%
2nd Tier
Edwards: 26,683 for 17%
3rd Tier
Richardson: 7,599 for 5%
Kucinich: 2,291 for 2%
Biden: 391 for 0%
Gravel: 352 for 0%
Dodd: 214 for 0%
With 66% reporting

McCain: 26,158 for 37%
Romney: 20,792 for 30%
Huckabee: 8,328 for 12%
Giuliani: 6,137 for 9%
Paul: 5,660 for 8%
Thompson: 878 for 1%
Hunter: 402 for 1%
With 38% reporting.
(NOTE: I’ll be updating this sporadically because the race is already called for McCain)

NBC just called it since McCain has 37% with 11% of the precincts reporting.
15 minutes after the polls close? Wow.
Romney can’t be happy.

Looks like the turnout in the Dem primary is so mega that they’re calling for more ballots. One can only speculate that this will help Obama, McCain and Ron Paul.
From ABC:
New Hampshire Deputy Secretary of State Dave Scanlan told ABC News that turnout among primary voters today “absolutely huge” — and there are concerns about [...]

Remember when I said Ron Paul needed to finish 3rd in New Hampshire to go on, but would probably finish in 5th?
Well, one poll shows he could do just that and finish in a 3-way tie with Huckabee and Giuliani for the 3rd spot. That would be huge.
The reason? Independents love him in New Hampshire. [...]

He’s now at 42%
Hillary and Kucinich stayed steady at 29% and 2% respectively, while Edwards is now at 17%, down from 19%. This basically spells doom for him I think. Richardson has also lost a point, going from 5% to 6%, so I don’t know if he’s really going to want to stick around [...]

Earlier today I wrote about Romney holding strong over the weekend, and now I find a column from Joe Klein talking about McCain potentially missing his chance to land a legitimate deathblow in favor of personal jabs.
Is a meme emerging?
From TIME:
Meanwhile, McCain was nowhere. His answers lacked zing. He seemed tired. He was unable [...]

Looks like McCain is pretty much neck and neck with Romney. He pulls 34%, while Romney takes 29%. That’s pretty much right where the numbers were at before the caucuses. If Romney can tie McCain it will really help him make a “comeback” story.
From Zogby:
“Among Republicans, McCain leads Romney among Independents 43% to 26%, voters [...]

Something big is happening because we’re talking about a 16 point swing if you look at his numbers from before Iowa to today. He now takes 39% to Hillary’s 29%.
Here’s how those numbers break down:
“This full sample is after Iowa. On the Democratic side, we have clarity and confirmation of what is being felt on [...]

If Mitt Romney had won Iowa, things would be so different. But he didn’t and he’s seems to be suffering a very similar fate to Hillary right now. Still, some polls show he’s holding his own.
McCain’s gains?
A 6 point gain from CNN.
A 4 point gain from USA Today.
An 8 point gain from Strategic Vision.
A 2 [...]

The big bounce is upon us…
10 point lead from CNN:
In the survey, conducted by the University of New Hampshire on Saturday and early Sunday, 39 percent of likely Granite State Democratic primary voters back Obama as the party’s nominee — that’s ten points ahead of Clinton’s 29 percent. Obama is up six points and Clinton [...]

How do you know your campaign is going down the toilet? When your supporters don’t even care if people film them committing dirty tricks.
Watch…

Why would they keep doing it with cameras there? It’s amazing how nonchalant they were. And one blog thinks that the woman in the video was actually a Romney staffer.
What’s pathetic about [...]

Post debate analysis from undecided New Hampshire residents who watched it live…

This is bad news for Hill because it’s not just that they don’t believe that she’s a change candidate, it’s that they barely believe her at all.
T-minus 68 hours…

…by telling FOX they’re wrong for excluding the Republican dark horse from their forum today.
From NY Times:
Ron Paul raised nearly $20 million in the last quarter, likely more than any of his rivals. He garnered 10 percent of the Republican vote in the Iowa Caucuses, surpassing Rudolph W. Giuliani. And he’s in New Hampshire [...]

[Re-published from 2008Central.net. We will update this post on Donklephant periodically, but for the latest check out the live blog at 2008Central.net]
This evening, the Democratic presidential candidates will participate in the the ABC News/Facebook/WMUR debate in New Hampshire. The participating candidates are Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson and John Edwards.
8:41: The Republican debate has [...]

Romney this morning:
“There’s no way that Sen. McCain is going to be able to come to New Hampshire and say that he’s the candidate that represents change — that he’ll change Washington. He is Washington,” Romney said on the campaign trail Friday.
Romney in 2002:
“One of the reasons the people of America honor Sen. McCain and [...]

I won’t beat around the bush here…he needs to place 3rd. If he has ANY shot to get the GOP nomination, that’s where he needs to be.
Why? Well, there is no state out there right now that is more tailor-made for Ron Paul’s strict constitutionalist message. None. Not Nevada, not Wyoming, not Idaho, not even [...]

Hmm, this seems particularly weak…
Bill Clinton voiced his abiding anger at the media’s coverage of him and his wife in Durham, N.H., today, and suggested that media bias will force Clinton to go negative on Barack Obama.
He also expressed his frustration that his wife is perceived by voters as divisive through, he said, no fault [...]

“This feels good. It’s just like I imagined it when I was talking to my Kindergarten teacher.”
- Obama this morning at a rally in Portsmouth, New Hampshire

They’re not ignoring his 10%. Good.

So there ya go Paulites. I bet he’ll get an invite.
But were they scared of Paul? No. They just don’t think he has a shot to win the nomination. And there’s a 99% chance that they’re right.
Also, I don’t think Giuliani is a contender anymore, even though he’s leading [...]