The big bounce is upon us…
10 point lead from CNN:
In the survey, conducted by the University of New Hampshire on Saturday and early Sunday, 39 percent of likely Granite State Democratic primary voters back Obama as the party’s nominee — that’s ten points ahead of Clinton’s 29 percent. Obama is up six points and Clinton [...]

How do you know your campaign is going down the toilet? When your supporters don’t even care if people film them committing dirty tricks.
Watch…

Why would they keep doing it with cameras there? It’s amazing how nonchalant they were. And one blog thinks that the woman in the video was actually a Romney staffer.
What’s pathetic about [...]

Post debate analysis from undecided New Hampshire residents who watched it live…

This is bad news for Hill because it’s not just that they don’t believe that she’s a change candidate, it’s that they barely believe her at all.
T-minus 68 hours…

…by telling FOX they’re wrong for excluding the Republican dark horse from their forum today.
From NY Times:
Ron Paul raised nearly $20 million in the last quarter, likely more than any of his rivals. He garnered 10 percent of the Republican vote in the Iowa Caucuses, surpassing Rudolph W. Giuliani. And he’s in New Hampshire [...]

[Re-published from 2008Central.net. We will update this post on Donklephant periodically, but for the latest check out the live blog at 2008Central.net]
This evening, the Democratic presidential candidates will participate in the the ABC News/Facebook/WMUR debate in New Hampshire. The participating candidates are Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson and John Edwards.
8:41: The Republican debate has [...]

Romney this morning:
“There’s no way that Sen. McCain is going to be able to come to New Hampshire and say that he’s the candidate that represents change — that he’ll change Washington. He is Washington,” Romney said on the campaign trail Friday.
Romney in 2002:
“One of the reasons the people of America honor Sen. McCain and [...]

I won’t beat around the bush here…he needs to place 3rd. If he has ANY shot to get the GOP nomination, that’s where he needs to be.
Why? Well, there is no state out there right now that is more tailor-made for Ron Paul’s strict constitutionalist message. None. Not Nevada, not Wyoming, not Idaho, not even [...]

Hmm, this seems particularly weak…
Bill Clinton voiced his abiding anger at the media’s coverage of him and his wife in Durham, N.H., today, and suggested that media bias will force Clinton to go negative on Barack Obama.
He also expressed his frustration that his wife is perceived by voters as divisive through, he said, no fault [...]

“This feels good. It’s just like I imagined it when I was talking to my Kindergarten teacher.”
- Obama this morning at a rally in Portsmouth, New Hampshire

They’re not ignoring his 10%. Good.

So there ya go Paulites. I bet he’ll get an invite.
But were they scared of Paul? No. They just don’t think he has a shot to win the nomination. And there’s a 99% chance that they’re right.
Also, I don’t think Giuliani is a contender anymore, even though he’s leading [...]

I wonder what they’d say if you asked them about their own state?
From AP:
According to national survey conducted for The Associated Press and Yahoo News, just over half of all voters said New Hampshire and Iowa have an extraordinary amount of influence over who wins the two nominations.
“They have way too much — WAY too [...]

I think it’s actually realistic. Here’s why…
Romney and Huckabee have 1st and 2nd locked up. The order in which they’ll finish is still up in the air, but I have a feeling that Huckabee could grab 1st because people just don’t seem to like Romney that much. Still, he has spent a ton of money [...]

Once the party’s whipping boy, could he now be the GOP’s savior?
From CBS News comes news of McCain’s rise in the Granite State:
For the second time in a row today, McCain’s events were mobbed by voters and press. This morning he addressed about 500 people in a church basement - one of the largest crowds [...]

I think if you even have to ask the question the answer is obvious, but CBS tries to play it balanced anyway.

Okay, so I’m assuming you’ve watched the video, and if so you’ll know that most of the candidates spend nearly ALL of their time in TWO states. Only Giuliani has spent any significant [...]

Yep. He’s in and he always has been.
The Boston Globe got caught up in it, as did I. But frankly, Paul should have checked his sources before he said Fox News was scared of him. Sure, I should have checked too, but I’m not running for President..
From Nolan Chart:
There is NO NH DEBATE on [...]

That’s the word on the street and it makes absolutely no sense. They’re going to keep a guy out who will have easily raised over $20 million once Q4 is over?
And let’s not forget how slanted Fox News is towards conservatives, so this move seems like, well, it’s designed to hurt Paul’s support in the [...]

AP has an interesting article today about Paul’s effect on New Hampshire:
Fergus Cullen, the New Hampshire Republican party chairman who is neutral in the race, said Paul’s campaign has sent more campaign mail to households than any other organization has. Radio advertising is heavy, although paid television advertising has been relatively modest so far.
Current polls [...]

Makes sense. It’s one of the most Libertarian states out there. Very fiscally conservative, pro gun, anti war. So if anybody can pull an upset there, it would be an insurgent campaign like Paul’s. And I have a feeling his grassroot support is going to be highly concentrated in that area anyway. In fact, I [...]

But just barely…
With New Hampshire voters set to go to the polls on Jan. 8, Clinton (N.Y.) got 35 percent in the new poll, with Obama (Ill.) close behind at 29 percent. Former senator John Edwards (N.C.) ran third with 17 percent and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson was fourth at 10 percent. Rep. Dennis [...]