Wesley Clark Gets Iraq Right

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in The War On Terrorism, War

Yes, yes, yes.

Wesley Clark gets it.

While the Bush administration and its critics escalated the debate last week over how long our troops should stay in Iraq, I was able to see the issue through the eyes of America’s friends in the Persian Gulf region. The Arab states agree on one thing: Iran is emerging as the big winner of the American invasion, and both President Bush’s new strategy and the Democratic responses to it dangerously miss the point. It’s a devastating critique. And, unfortunately, it is correct.

That’s right. Neither side has the right perspective on this situation. They think they do, but they don’t. However, being the uninspired blogger that I am, I haven’t really been able to figure out what to do differently. I know Dean’s idea is not smart, and Bush’s plan isn’t anything new and risks hurrying up the timetable and giving Iraq the “good enough” measure.

But Wesley knows what to do…

If this critique is correct – and it is difficult to argue against it – then we must face its implications. “Staying the course” risks a slow and costly departure of American forces with Iraq increasingly factionalized and aligned with Iran. Yet a more rapid departure of American troops along a timeline, as some Democrats are calling for, simply reduces our ability to affect the outcome and risks broader regional conflict.

We need to keep our troops in Iraq, but we need to modify the strategy far more drastically than anything President Bush called for last week.

On the military side, American and Iraqi forces must take greater control of the country’s borders, not only on the Syrian side but also in the east, on the Iranian side. The current strategy of clearing areas near Syria of insurgents and then posting Iraqi troops, backed up by mobile American units, has had success. But it needs to be expanded, especially in the heavily Shiite regions in the southeast, where there has been continuing cross-border traffic from Iran and where the loyalties of the Iraqi troops will be especially tested.

We need to deploy three or four American brigades, some 20,000 troops, with adequate aerial reconnaissance, to provide training, supervision and backup along Iraq’s several thousand miles of vulnerable border. And even then, the borders won’t be “sealed”; they’ll just be more challenging to penetrate.

We must also continue military efforts against insurgent strongholds and bases in the Sunni areas, in conjunction with Iraqi forces. Over the next year or so, this will probably require four to six brigade combat teams, plus an operational reserve, maybe 30,000 troops.

But these efforts must go hand-in-glove with intensified outreach to Iraqi insurgents, to seek their reassimilation into society and their assistance in wiping out residual foreign jihadists. Iraqi and American officials have had sporadic communications with insurgent leaders, but these must lead to deeper discussions on issues like amnesty for insurgents who lay down their arms and opportunities for their further participation in public and private life.

Iraq, for its part, must begin to enforce the ban on armed militias that was enshrined in the new Constitution, especially in the south. Ideally, this should be achieved voluntarily, through political means. But American muscle will have to be made available as a last resort. The Iraqi government should request that for the next two years, six to eight American brigades serve as a backup, available as a last resort if there is trouble in cities with large militia factions like Baghdad, Basra and Najaf. And it is vital that the Pentagon provide our forces with better crowd-control training and many more translators than they have now.

And finally…

What a disaster it would be if the real winner in Iraq turned out to be Iran, a country that supports terrorism and opposes most of what we stand for. Surely, we can summon the wisdom, resources and bipartisan leadership to change the American course before it is too late.

Indeed.

In any event, read the rest. Very good stuff.


This entry was posted on Tuesday, December 6th, 2005 and is filed under The War On Terrorism, War. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

6 Responses to “Wesley Clark Gets Iraq Right”

  1. lgude Says:

    The Shia angle including Iran has been important from the begiing. Even the most enthusiastic advocates for war must have known they were invading a country where a 60% majority had been persecuted for hundreds of years. You can’t envision democracy in Iraq without recognising that democracy meant that you were empowering the Shia. I think the most optimistic thing that has happened is how Sistani has handled the pro Iranian faction. He let the US army defeat Sadr twice. Whatever Sistani wants it is something between the Iranian model and a secular democratic model. It is notable that he discouraged mullahs actually running for office. There are certainly those in Iraq who want an Iranian style theocracy either directly allied to Iran or in imitation of it. What isn’t clear is how much actual power that point of view will have in the new government. So while I don’t think the persident is openly talking about these issues for the obvious reason that it would lay him open to criticism that Iraqi goverenment is his simply his puppet.

  2. kreiz Says:

    Kevin Drum takes a shot at Clark’s analysis this morning in “Changing the Course in Iraq.” I’d be interested in hearing your reaction to his piece, Justin. By the way, congratations on the Weblog Award nomination.

  3. Dave Schuler Says:

    Clark’s suggestions are necessary but, unfortunately, not sufficient. In addition to the issues that the measures that the general suggests will deal with there are two issues that we face in Iraq:

    1) How do we change the incentives in Iraq that are driving the various competing interests towards faction?

    2) If continued large scale presence of American forces is required in Iraq for the foreseeable future (I think it is and Gen. Clark’s prescription would appear to make that assumption as well), how can domestic political support for doing that be mustered (it’s pretty obviously flagging)?

  4. michael reynolds Says:

    Two points: 1) I don’t know that Sistani would allow US forces to take a more aggressive posture in the south, and 2) how did we reach the point where we are reliant on a septuagenarian ayatollah?

  5. Callimachus Says:

    Michael, you go to democracy-building with the ayatollah you have.

  6. probligo Says:

    “Michael, you go to democracy-building with the ayatollah you have”

    Ahhh, atlast!!!

    Some one has explained GWB in a way that makes SENSE!!!

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