Now, they haven’t called it yet, but Olbermann said that they might have some news at the top of the hour. My guess is they will because she’s up by 14 with 34% reporting. That’s seemingly way too much for Obama to come from behind and win.
And sure, he could close the gap, but [...]

Keith Olbermann made sure to say it’s “too early” to call instead of “too close” to call.
Do they know something and aren’t telling us?
In any event, my prediction is she’ll win it, but it’ll be single digits.
UPDATE:
Now there’s 33% in and she’s maintaining the 14% lead.

Since I reported about a probably win for Obama, it looks like Hillary is doing really well with nearly 20% in.
Of course the votes only total 190,000, so one has to think that these aren’t the major metro areas of the state.
More as it develops…

That’s the news from the Indy Star today.
Note the difference between these two voters…
“I’m a hardcore Republican,” she said, “but it’s about who I wanted in second place in case McCain doesn’t make it. … I don’t like the way this country’s been run in the last 20 years. I’m sick of the dynasty [...]

Yesterday it was Obama/Clinton, 44/42. Today it’s Obama/Clinton, 45/43.
This is a tight one, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Hillary pulls out the victory tonight given that this poll still shows 12% undecided.
The details…
The overall Obama advantage in Indiana—though statistically insignificant—comes after another strong day of polling Monday. The one-day total, which comprises about [...]

Obama cut into her lead, but not enough to fully close the gap. Still, he went from 8 points down to 5, making the contest Clinton/Obama, 51/46.
The details… (pdf)
Clinton led a similar poll last week 50-42. The main movement since then comes from Obama shoring up his support with black voters. Last week he led [...]

If she can win by double digits in Indiana, it’s significant.
The details…
24 hours till votes are counted in the Indiana Democratic Primary, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama in the symbolically important popular vote, and possibly by enough to pick up more than a trivial number of net Convention delegates, according to SurveyUSA’s final pre-primary tracking [...]

Suffolk University’s poll finds that Hillary has solid support, but Obama could make a final charge.
The details…
Hillary Clinton (49 percent) leads Barack Obama (43 percent) among likely Indiana Democratic voters, according to a poll released today by Suffolk University.
Six percent of Democratic voters were undecided, and 2 percent refused a response. However, 38 [...]

I’m not exactly sure what’s up with his numbers today, but as stated in the title they BOTH add up to 101%, which seems pretty sloppy. Obviously, I understand the idea of rounding up, but this seems akin to Clinton winning by 9.2% in Pennsylvania and the media reporting she actually won by double digits.
Here’s [...]

It’s Obama/Clinton, 48/39. Yesterday it was 46/37.
So both Hillary and Barack added 2 since yesterday as the “someone else” category shrunk by 3 to 5% and 1% undecideds made up their mind for a new 8%.
Here’s more on NC:
Obama leads by 16 points among voters age 35-54, the largest age grouping in the survey. [...]

Yesterday’s numbers for North Carolina were Obama/Clinton, 50/34. Today it’s 46/37.
The details:
Obama leads in all age groups with one exception - those age 70 and older, where the two are essentially tied. But Clinton closed the gap in some age groups, compared to yesterday’s two-day tracking report.
Clinton expanded her lead among white voters in North [...]

Another one from American Research Group, this time showing some good news for Hillary. She’s gained 4 points since the last ARG with the latest coming in at Clinton/Obama, 53/44. Last week it was 50/45.
The details…
Obama leads among men 49% to 47% and Clinton leads among women 57% to 40%.
Clinton leads among white voters 59% [...]

And the 2008 total is apparently nearly double 2004’s.
From IndyStar:
With nearly twice as many Hoosiers voting early as did four years ago, officials say voters in Marion County are requesting Democratic ballots 3-to-1 over Republican ones so far.
Spurred by intense interest in the Democratic presidential race, more than 10,000 people per day have been casting [...]

Zogby was sketchy earlier in the season, but he was nearly dead on in Pennsylvania, so these numbers might tell a similar story.
In North Carolina, he leads 50 to 34, with 8 saying they’ll vote for somebody else (my guess is it’ll be John Edwards) and 8 remaining undecided.
Here’s more detail…
Clinton leads by 10 points [...]

It’s Clinton/Obama, 46/41 with 13% undecided at this point.
So while it’s likely she’ll win the state, it also appears that Obama will stay competitive and the delegate math will make this one a tie…
Eighty-two percent (82%) of Clinton voters say they are “certain” they will vote for her while 77% of Obama supporters say the [...]

Public Policy Polling did the worst in Pennsylvania, but that’s because they overestimated the African American and youth vote. I doubt they’ll do the same in Indiana.
In any event, it’s Clinton/Obama, 50/42.
More from the poll…
Her support is coming from the same groups that she usually does well with- women (54-39), whites (54-38), and older [...]

That’s the math from CQ Politics:
There are 72 pledged delegates at stake in the Indiana primary, along with 13 of those officially unpledged party leaders and elected officials known as “superdelegates.” Of those 72 pledged delegates, 47 are allocated among the state’s nine congressional districts and will be apportioned between Clinton and Obama based on [...]

First off, it’s important to make sure the media doesn’t spin Indiana as being Obama country. It’s not. In fact, SurveyUSA has shown Hillary consistently leading in the state.
Here’s more:
In a Democratic Primary in Indiana today, 04/28/08, 8 days until votes are counted, Hillary Clinton finishes ahead of Barack Obama, according to a SurveyUSA poll [...]

This guy is sure to be in the VP running if Hillary wins Indiana. But the big question: can his support really help her close the gap?
And another big question: what is the power of the Bayh brand name in Indiana?
From Politico:
Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton aren’t the only senators with a lot riding [...]

Two days in a row. At the very least the Clinton’s effort to make it seem like she can win is working.

The details…
These results, based on April 24-26 polling, are the second report in which all interviews have been conducted after Clinton’s Tuesday Pennsylvania primary win, and suggest that Democratic voters are — for the [...]