Archive for the 'Indiana' Category

81% Reporting In Indiana: Hillary Leads By 36K

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana

Clinton – 515,289 – 52%
Obama – 479,085 – 48%
BUT, Lake Country has reported 1 vote. That’s a city that shares the Chicago media market and there are a TON of votes there. He could easily make up the difference there.
More soon…

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

With 78% Reporting, Hillary Leads by 3.23%

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana

These are the latest numbers from CNN:
Clinton – 503,060 – 51.61%
Obama – 471,609 – 48.38%
TOTAL – 974,669 – 3.23% difference
It’s razor thin right now.
Only a 31,451 vote difference.
More soon…

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 3 Comments »

Hillary Leads By 4% With 74% Reporting In Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana

Wow.
Clinton – 481,229 – 52%
Obama – 443,591 – 48%
Who would have thunk it?
However, Chuck Todd just said on MSNBC that the Obama campaign doesn’t think they took it. By their calculations, they’re about 15,000 votes too short.
But if those numbers hold up, this is already a BIG story because Obama is keeping Indiana tight and [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

MSNBC Just Changed Indiana To “Too Close To Call”

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, Missouri

It had been “too earlier to call.”
They also likened it to Missouri.
And we all remember what happened in Missouri…
I’m calling it for Obama. Yeah, that’s right, ME!!!
Here’s why…if you look at the counties who haven’t reported all their votes yet they’re all going to go for Obama.
I honestly can’t believe he pulled this one [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

With 65% Reporting In Indiana…

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana

Clinton’s lead has shrunk to 53/47.
We could be in for a long night.

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Why Haven’t MSNBC And CNN Called Indiana Yet?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana

The numbers keep getting tighter.
First it was Hillary by 14.
Then 12.
The 10.
Now 8.
Is something happening in Indiana? Because it had been reported that totals from a lot Obama strongholds haven’t come in yet. Is that still the case?
Interesting…

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Obama Seen As Most Electable In North Carolina, Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, North Carolina, Polls

That from Sam Stein…
n Indiana, despite the fact that the numbers portend a Clinton win, Obama is viewed as the nominee best able to win the White House, by a margin of 50 to 47 percent. In North Carolina, according to CNN, that divide is even more pronounced: “voters gave the edge to Barack Obama: [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

CBS Calls Indiana For Clinton

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, News

I bet they’re breathing a sigh of relief right now, and the margin is probably over 5% if they’re calling it this early.
So what now? Can Obama win by enough to really make Hillary’s Indiana win seem insignificant?
We shall see…
More here.

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

MSNBC Hints At Hillary Win

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana

Now, they haven’t called it yet, but Olbermann said that they might have some news at the top of the hour. My guess is they will because she’s up by 14 with 34% reporting. That’s seemingly way too much for Obama to come from behind and win.
And sure, he could close the gap, but [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

With 28% In, Hillary Up By 14 In Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, Media

Keith Olbermann made sure to say it’s “too early” to call instead of “too close” to call.
Do they know something and aren’t telling us?
In any event, my prediction is she’ll win it, but it’ll be single digits.
UPDATE:
Now there’s 33% in and she’s maintaining the 14% lead.

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

With 16% In, Hillary Leads 57% to 43%

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana

Since I reported about a probably win for Obama, it looks like Hillary is doing really well with nearly 20% in.
Of course the votes only total 190,000, so one has to think that these aren’t the major metro areas of the state.
More as it develops…

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

Staunch Republicans Voting Democrat In Indiana?

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, McCain, Republicans

That’s the news from the Indy Star today.
Note the difference between these two voters…
“I’m a hardcore Republican,” she said, “but it’s about who I wanted in second place in case McCain doesn’t make it. … I don’t like the way this country’s been run in the last 20 years. I’m sick of the dynasty [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Zogby: Obama Still Leads By 2 In Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, Polls

Yesterday it was Obama/Clinton, 44/42. Today it’s Obama/Clinton, 45/43.
This is a tight one, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Hillary pulls out the victory tonight given that this poll still shows 12% undecided.
The details…
The overall Obama advantage in Indiana—though statistically insignificant—comes after another strong day of polling Monday. The one-day total, which comprises about [...]

May 6th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Public Policy Polling: Hillary Leads By 5 In Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, Polls

Obama cut into her lead, but not enough to fully close the gap. Still, he went from 8 points down to 5, making the contest Clinton/Obama, 51/46.
The details… (pdf)
Clinton led a similar poll last week 50-42. The main movement since then comes from Obama shoring up his support with black voters. Last week he led [...]

May 5th, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »

SurveyUSA: Hillary Leads By 12 In Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, Polls

If she can win by double digits in Indiana, it’s significant.
The details…
24 hours till votes are counted in the Indiana Democratic Primary, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama in the symbolically important popular vote, and possibly by enough to pick up more than a trivial number of net Convention delegates, according to SurveyUSA’s final pre-primary tracking [...]

May 5th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Poll: Hillary Leads By 6 In Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, Polls

Suffolk University’s poll finds that Hillary has solid support, but Obama could make a final charge.
The details…
Hillary Clinton (49 percent) leads Barack Obama (43 percent) among likely Indiana Democratic voters, according to a poll released today by Suffolk University.
Six percent of Democratic voters were undecided, and 2 percent refused a response. However, 38 [...]

May 5th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Zogby’s North Carolina And Indiana Polls Add Up To 101%

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, North Carolina, Polls

I’m not exactly sure what’s up with his numbers today, but as stated in the title they BOTH add up to 101%, which seems pretty sloppy. Obviously, I understand the idea of rounding up, but this seems akin to Clinton winning by 9.2% in Pennsylvania and the media reporting she actually won by double digits.
Here’s [...]

May 5th, 2008 | Permalink| 2 Comments »

Zogby: Obama North Carolina Lead Steady, Gains 1 In Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, North Carolina, Polls

It’s Obama/Clinton, 48/39. Yesterday it was 46/37.
So both Hillary and Barack added 2 since yesterday as the “someone else” category shrunk by 3 to 5% and 1% undecideds made up their mind for a new 8%.
Here’s more on NC:
Obama leads by 16 points among voters age 35-54, the largest age grouping in the survey. [...]

May 4th, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Zogby: Obama Shrinks In North Carolina, Indiana Still Tied

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, North Carolina, Polls

Yesterday’s numbers for North Carolina were Obama/Clinton, 50/34. Today it’s 46/37.
The details:
Obama leads in all age groups with one exception – those age 70 and older, where the two are essentially tied. But Clinton closed the gap in some age groups, compared to yesterday’s two-day tracking report.
Clinton expanded her lead among white voters in North [...]

May 3rd, 2008 | Permalink| 1 Comment »

Poll: Hillary Up 9 In Indiana

By Justin Gardner | Related entries in 2008 Election, Barack, Democrats, Hillary, Indiana, Polls

Another one from American Research Group, this time showing some good news for Hillary. She’s gained 4 points since the last ARG with the latest coming in at Clinton/Obama, 53/44. Last week it was 50/45.
The details…
Obama leads among men 49% to 47% and Clinton leads among women 57% to 40%.
Clinton leads among white voters 59% [...]

May 2nd, 2008 | Permalink| No Comments »