Earlier I shared some electoral projections that hinted at an Obama blowout, and now I have two sets of swing state polls that provide even more good news for his camp.
The key here is that Obama has crossed the 50% threshold in most of these polls with just a little more than a month [...]

McCain: 44%
Obama: 42%
It’s a very tight race in the “Silver State,” but I can’t help but think this could be an indication that the Obama campaign’s strategy to focus more attention on new states in this election cycle may actually work.
Here are the demographic breakdowns…
Voters age 18 to 34 preferred Obama by a wide margin, [...]

First they said this…:
Just like in Iowa, what was awarded today were delegates to the county convention. No national convention delegates were awarded. The calculations of national convention delegates being circulated are based upon an assumption that delegate preferences will remain the same between now and April 2008. We look forward to our county and [...]

Last minute dirty tricks in Nevada:
(CNN) — The Obama campaign released a recording Saturday that they said was a last-minute negative robo-call received by a Nevada voter.
The call attacks the Illinois senator and emphasizes his little-used middle name, repeatedly referring to “Barack Hussein Obama.”
Here’s the audio of the call.
Let me state, for the record, that [...]

Left is right, up is down…
Barack Obama may have won the most delegates in Saturday’s Nevada Caucus, even though Hillary Clinton bested his statewide turnout by about six points.
A source with knowledge of the Nevada Democratic Party’s projections told The Nation that under the arcane weighting system, Obama would win 13 national convention delegates and [...]

For all intents and purposes, the top tier Republicans weren’t really running that hard against Romney in Nevada so he mopped the floor with everybody. On the other hand, Hillary and Obama were running pretty hard in the state.
So what explains these numbers?

DEMS [...]

Wow, he really is going all out for Hill.
On one hand it’s understandable considering the worldwide, historic embarrassment he put her through. On the other hand it’s just so damn tacky given the the suit that the state teacher’s union filed to keep the casino workers from caucusing in the hotels on the strip.
Here’s [...]

The Mormons came out en masse for Mitt today and he won Nevada handily. That’s two wins in a row for the former Governor, but there’s no doubt he’s going to lose in South Carolina today.
Also, some good news for the Paulites today. They may just get some delegates after all! Presently, they’re leading McCain [...]

Another close one, and Hillary looks like she’s going to able to pull it out with a strong 51% to Obama’s 45%. Edwards pulls in an embarrassing 4%.
Here’s how the vote broke down across demographics:
According to CBS News entrance polls, the economy was the issue most on the minds of Democratic caucus-goers today, ahead of [...]

This would be a very important win for Romney to maintain momentum after Michigan, but since Nevada is new to the early primary schedule, will it matter THAT much for the GOP nomination? Or is South Carolina really the biggest prize?
In any event, Mitt leads McCain by a wide margin, so it’s fairly likely [...]

Good news for the Obama camp. Bad news for the Clinton’s credibility.
From AP:
“State Democrats have a First Amendment right to association, to assemble and to set their own rules,” [U.S. District Court Judge James] Mahan said.
Nevada’s Democratic Party approved creation of the precincts to make it easier for housekeepers, waitresses and bellhops to caucus during [...]

If you haven’t heard yet, back in March 2007 Nevada made it okay for workers on the Las Vegas strip to caucus in several casinos around the area. That way they could ACTUALLY get a vote. If that didn’t happen, there’s probably no way they could go back to where they live during their lunch [...]

Michigan. South Carolina. Nevada. A lot will be decided this week, including whether or not Ron Paul can turn a good showing in Nevada into a media story. My prediction? Nope.
First, on Tuesday the 15th, there’s Michigan:
Arizona Sen. John McCain holds a slim lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney heading into the Republican primary [...]

Basically, she says the process disenfranchises voters. Well, then why wasn’t she saying the same thing in Iowa?
From ABC:
With the Nevada caucuses approaching on Jan. 19, Sen. Hillary Clinton reflected upon her defeat in the Iowa caucuses at an appearance in Las Vegas’ District 11, a lower-income and predominately Hispanic part of town, suggesting caucuses [...]