It wasn’t the squeaker that was once reported. Looks like he’ll win by 5%, which is a pretty big swing from what the polls were projecting. But we all know it wasn’t a matter of Reid being good. Angle was just that bad. From the LA Times: Reporting from Las Vegas — Democratic Sen. Harry [...]

Will last night’s debate swing the race? I didn’t see it, but I’m hearing that Angle looked sort of like a Senator and that may be all she needs to defeat the wildly unpopular Senate majority leader. Here’s the trending from Pollster… Will Reid squeak this one out? Will Angle be the Tea Party’s biggest [...]

Sanford I have fewer problems with not resigning, although I think he should save South Carolina the embarrassment. His attention is clearly divided at this point and he let down the voters by abandoning his post. But Ensign fired his mistress’ husband from his staff and then continued to pursue her after the fact. Not [...]

You probably noticed that I didn’t write anything about John Ensign’s affair because it seemed like just another hypocrite doing what hypocrites do. But when I read the following letter penned by one of Ensign’s former employees (as well as the husband of the woman Ensign pursued), I was moved enough to share it. You’ll [...]

These aren’t full marriage rights, but they’re much closer and a strong rebuke of the Governor’s veto. From CNN: Nevada is legalizing domestic partnerships, with the state Assembly voting Sunday evening to override a veto by the governor, officials said. The Assembly voted 28-14 to override Gov. Jim Gibbons’ veto of a domestic partner bill, [...]

Missouri has long been considered the bellwether state for its penchant of siding with winners in Presidential elections. That status has slipped a bit this last year as John McCain edged Barack Obama by 3,900 votes. Alone as the top bellwether state is the unconventional Nevada. Nevada has accurately predicted the winner in every election [...]

More “poll of polls” numbers suggest Obama could capture some reliably red states. Nevada… CNN’s new Nevada Poll of Polls shows Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49% to 43%; CNN’s last Nevada Poll of Polls –- released October 31 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points. North Carolina… Obama is leading McCain by [...]

And actually, just to give you a preview of my election night prediction…this is pretty close to what I’m thinking. First, the Obama leads… Florida: Obama +2 Obama: 47% McCain: 45% Virginia: Obama +3 Obama: 47% McCain: 44% Pennsylvania: Obama +4 Obama: 47% McCain: 43% Nevada: Obama +4 Obama: 47% McCain: 43% Colorado Obama +5 [...]

Good signs on the state level (.pdf), even if Obama’s numbers are slipping a bit nationally in the past couple days. Colorado: Obama +9 Obama: 50% McCain: 41% Florida: Obama + 2 Obama: 45% McCain: 43% Nevada: Obama +12 Obama: 52% McCain: 40% New Hampshire: Obama +18 Obama: 55% McCain: 37% North Carolina: Obama +2 [...]

The only good news here for McCain is that West Virginia is still in his corner. Still, that’s only a single digit lead and these are all states that Bush carried in 2004. Nevada: +5 Obama Obama 51% McCain 46% North Carolina: +4 Obama Obama 51% McCain 47% Ohio: +4 Obama Obama 50% McCain 46% [...]

TIME has the numbers. In Nevada and North Carolina it favors Obama… Cumulative early-vote totals in the Las Vegas area show ballots were cast by 31,875 Democrats and 13,371 Republicans through midday Monday. Republicans had the advantage in absentee balloting, 6,616 to 6,161 through noon Monday. In the Reno area, a similar pattern occurred twice [...]

Earlier I shared some electoral projections that hinted at an Obama blowout, and now I have two sets of swing state polls that provide even more good news for his camp. The key here is that Obama has crossed the 50% threshold in most of these polls with just a little more than a month [...]

McCain: 44% Obama: 42% It’s a very tight race in the “Silver State,” but I can’t help but think this could be an indication that the Obama campaign’s strategy to focus more attention on new states in this election cycle may actually work. Here are the demographic breakdowns… Voters age 18 to 34 preferred Obama [...]

First they said this…: Just like in Iowa, what was awarded today were delegates to the county convention. No national convention delegates were awarded. The calculations of national convention delegates being circulated are based upon an assumption that delegate preferences will remain the same between now and April 2008. We look forward to our county [...]

Last minute dirty tricks in Nevada: (CNN) — The Obama campaign released a recording Saturday that they said was a last-minute negative robo-call received by a Nevada voter. The call attacks the Illinois senator and emphasizes his little-used middle name, repeatedly referring to “Barack Hussein Obama.” Here’s the audio of the call. Let me state, [...]

Left is right, up is down… Barack Obama may have won the most delegates in Saturday’s Nevada Caucus, even though Hillary Clinton bested his statewide turnout by about six points. A source with knowledge of the Nevada Democratic Party’s projections told The Nation that under the arcane weighting system, Obama would win 13 national convention [...]

For all intents and purposes, the top tier Republicans weren’t really running that hard against Romney in Nevada so he mopped the floor with everybody. On the other hand, Hillary and Obama were running pretty hard in the state. So what explains these numbers? DEMS VOTES Hillary Clinton 5,317 Barack Obama 4,726 John Edwards 393 [...]

Wow, he really is going all out for Hill. On one hand it’s understandable considering the worldwide, historic embarrassment he put her through. On the other hand it’s just so damn tacky given the the suit that the state teacher’s union filed to keep the casino workers from caucusing in the hotels on the strip. [...]

The Mormons came out en masse for Mitt today and he won Nevada handily. That’s two wins in a row for the former Governor, but there’s no doubt he’s going to lose in South Carolina today. Also, some good news for the Paulites today. They may just get some delegates after all! Presently, they’re leading [...]

Another close one, and Hillary looks like she’s going to able to pull it out with a strong 51% to Obama’s 45%. Edwards pulls in an embarrassing 4%. Here’s how the vote broke down across demographics: According to CBS News entrance polls, the economy was the issue most on the minds of Democratic caucus-goers today, [...]