With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 45%
Without leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 42%
Obama gains one in the without leaners numbers to open up a semi-significant lead post Biden announcement.
How are the favorability and partisan numbers shaping up?
McCain is viewed favorably by 56% of the nation’s voters, Obama by 55%. Biden is now viewed favorably by 48% of [...]

Or “Dunkin’ Donuts Independents?”
Or “Brothers Who Own A Woodworking Business?”
Or even “Necktie Wearing Asians Living Above Frozen Yogurt Shops?”
Find out about all 430 of the new demographic groups from ONN…

It’s certainly going to be a fascinating race to watch!

Not that many were expecting a bounce from the Biden news, but the Obama camp can’t like the news that these numbers hint at.

The details…
Typically, presidential candidates have gotten a bump in the polls after naming their vice presidential running mate. Obama apparently received no immediate benefit in the polls from naming Biden as Gallup [...]

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 45%
Without leaners
Obama - 46%
McCain - 43%
Obama gains one today, and this is the first time since Berlin that he has enjoyed a 3 point lead in the “with leaners” numbers.
Rasmussen talks about voters’ reaction to the Biden announcement…
Yesterday, Obama announced that Joe Biden will be his running mate and the [...]

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 46%
Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 42%
The numbers jump a bit for Obama today, but we haven’t seen impact of the Biden announcement yet. It’ll be interesting to see what happens in the next couple days before the convention.
Rasmussen shares some data about the Veep nominee…
Biden—who had been the frontrunner all [...]

For the past 7 days, Obama has lead by 1 in 4 of the days, by 2 in 1 and has been tied with McCain 1 day. This is very similar to what Rasmussen is showing.

Gallup maps out the road ahead…
Political observers are awaiting the news of whom Obama has selected as his vice [...]

With leaners
Obama - 47%
McCain - 46%
Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 43%
Obama’s Veep announcement is probably today, so these numbers may change a bit between now and the Democratic National Convention.
Still, Rasmussen shows the electoral race is neck and neck…
The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator currently shows now Obama leading in states with 193 [...]

Sorry folks. I looked at the wrong numbers yesterday and reported that Obama was leading by 3. He was actually leading by 2. And today McCain gains a point, thus cutting Obama’s lead by 1.

The details…
Obama had enjoyed a slightly larger three-point average margin over McCain from the time Obama clinched the Democratic nomination in [...]

With leaners
Obama - 48%
McCain - 46%
Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 42%
Obama adds one in the “with leaners” numbers, but can he reach 50%? Or will McCain overtake him after the Republican National Convention?
And why do I highlight this daily polling? Rasmussen explains…
A batch of polls from other organizations yesterday confirmed the tightening of the race [...]

He gained 1 from yesterday as we head into convention week, which should give Obama a bounce.

Still, Gallup shares why they think Barack should be leading by more…
Obama’s support has not gone above 49% in any Gallup Poll Daily report since Gallup began tracking the Obama-McCain race in early March. However, given the Democratic [...]

McCain - 50%
Obama - 40%
That’s a jump of 7 points since last month. And as anybody who follows polls knows, if you hit the 50% mark or drop below 40%, that’s a big deal.
The details…
The key to McCain’s rise is nearly doubling his lead among white voters. He now has a 56-35 advantage with [...]

With leaners
Obama - 47%
McCain - 46%
Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 42%
Pretty much the same numbers as yesterday, but McCain did gain one in the “with leaners” numbers.
Some notes on favorability and the Dem convention…
Obama is viewed favorably by 56% of the nation’s voters, McCain by 55%. [...]
As Democrats prepare to gather for their [...]

So, John McCain has pulled ahead in the most recent monthly Reuters / Zogby poll. Why? I think there are two reasons.
The lesser reason first: The crisis in Georgia brought the whole “3 a.m. phone call” scenario into clear focus. Obama initially seemed like he just wished the situation would go away. McCain took the [...]

Good news for the McCain camp, as they see that their “Celebrity” attacks are definitely having an impact. Because we’re looking at a 12 point swing since Obama lead by 7 in July.
From Reuters:
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. [...]

Essentially all tied up, and the race has definitely grown tighter over the past week and a half.

Gallup prepares us for the road ahead…
Based on past history, Obama should expect a bounce from his vice presidential announcement this week and the convention next week. McCain, of course, should also expect a counter bounce thereafter, [...]

With leaners
Obama - 47%
McCain - 45%
Without leaners
Obama - 45%
McCain - 42%
Obama gains a bit today as he continues to hold the slim lead he has for most of the general election season. The question I have to ask myself now is “Why hasn’t McCain been able to breakthrough?”
However, Rasmussen suggests that some underlying trends could [...]

The race tightened up over the weekend, but now Obama has opened up the normal 3 point lead he has had over the past couple months.

What’s next? Gallup explains…
Campaign activity from this point forward will begin to intensify, with the pending announcement of Obama’s vice-presidential choice, the Democratic convention, McCain’s own announcement of his [...]

With leaners
Obama - 47%
McCain - 46%
Without leaners
Obama - 44%
McCain - 43%
The story today is more of the same as these candidates are neck and neck.
And, it looks like the Georgian conflict is having an effect on voters perceptions on what the most important issue of the campaign is…
Forty percent (40%) of voters now rate the [...]

A steep drop in the past couple days for Obama, as he has lost 2 points and McCain has gained 1 each of the last two days. But Rasmussen shows a slight uptick for Obama.
Could registered voters (Gallup’s group) be taking the Georgian conflict more to heart, while likely voters (Rasmussen’s group) don’t consider it [...]

With leaners
Obama - 47%
McCain - 45%
Without leaners
Obama - 44%
McCain - 41%
A good day for Obama, as he jumps a couple points in the “w/o leaners” numbers and one point in the “with leaners” numbers.
Rasmussen looks at the effects of the Georgian conflict…
Despite the Russian invasion of Georgia, daily tracking data shows no shift in [...]