Ben Smith notes… With 92 percent reporting in Virginia, Obama is now 102,000 votes ahead of all Republicans combined. Indeed. Additionally, if you add up Hillary and McCain’s vote totals, he would lead that too.
And the campaign breathes a BIG sigh of relief… Conservative voter turnout was high in Virginia, helping Huckabee there, exit polls showed. Evangelical voters made up more than 40 percent of the electorate and were breaking for Huckabee nearly 3 to 1 over McCain, exit polls showed. In 2000, 55 percent of Virginia GOP voters [...]
[Re-published from 2008Central.net. This liveblog on Donklephant will be updated periodically. For the latest please visit the active liveblog at 2008Central.net] Today (02/12/08), Barack Obama is having a rally in Madison, Wisconsin. Doors opened at 6:15 CST and Obama is scheduled to speak at 8:15 CST (just in time to opine on the results of [...]
TPM talks about how this is hurting McCain… It also seems like we may be seeing another example of synergy between the two races in Virginia. Independents and Republicans seem to have participated pretty heavily in the Democratic primary, and they went overwhelmingly for Obama. (The reverse happened in New Hampshire.) Those were voters McCain [...]
One word: conservatives…. Nearly seven in 10 voters in Virginia’s Republican primary called themselves conservatives. Mike Huckabee won half of their votes, including two-thirds of those who called themselves “very conservative.” Four in 10 Virginia Republican voters were born-again evangelical Christians, and they strongly supported Huckabee over John McCain. Huckabee won the votes of two-thirds [...]
These voters have been Hillary’s firewall, and it looks like they could be leaving her in these redder states… Women: Obama 58%, Hillary 42% Whites: Hillary 51%, Obama 48% Seniors (another key Hillary constituency): Obama 53%, Hillary 47% Late-deciders: Hillary 52%, Obama 48% Young voters: Obama 80%, Hillary 20% Independents: Obama 66%, Hillary 33% Note [...]
If Huck can pull this out, McCain is going to have to retool his “cake walk” strategy. And this might be the reason why McCain is having trouble today… Several older folks cast their ballots for Mr. Obama, including retired couple Don and Peggy Fredericksen. “We voted for Obama and we’re Republican!†Mr. Fredericksen said. [...]
CNN just called it for him right after the polls closed. Looks like the good night has started…
He could have another big night. From Drudge… EXIT POLLS SHOW 2:1 OBAMA LEAD OVER HILLARY IN VA AND MD, 3:1 IN DC… DEVELOPING… Also turnout is high, despite bad weather… In Maryland, turnout was anticipated to be about 40 percent, which is above normal according to Ross Goldstein, deputy administrator for the state’s Board [...]
SurveyUSA has the numbers… Big movement in Virginia following Mike Huckabee’s strong showing over the weekend in Louisiana, Kansas and Washington state. On the eve of the Virginia Republican Primary, it’s John McCain 48%, Mike Huckabee 37%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 72 hours ago, McCain is down 9, Huckabee is up [...]
Tomorrow’s contests are looking good for Obama, but we’ve been led astray by polls many times during this election cycle, so take these numbers with a grain of salt… Maryland: ARG: Obama 55%, Clinton 37% (Today) Mason-Dixon: Obama 53%, Clinton 35% (Feb. 10) Rasmussen: Obama 57%, Clinton 31% (Feb. 9) SurveyUSA: Obama 52%, Clinton 33% [...]
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